Poll Average Details- NLD House of Representatives - Popular Vote - 2012-09-12 20:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

PollMid DateTime WeightInternal People's Party for Freedom and Democracy Labour Party Socialist Party Party for Freedom Christian Democratic Appeal Democrats 66 ChristianUnion GroenLinks Party for the Animals Reformed Political Party 50PLUS Pirate Party of the Netherlands Others Democratic Political Turning Point Party for Human and Spirit Libertarian Party
Ipsos Synovate9/11X 1.00000   24.3000 - -14.3195 bias 23.4000 - -13.0313 bias 13.4000 - -2.8935 bias 11.4000 - -4.3314 bias 8.8000 - -4.0660 bias 6.7000 - -4.6530 bias 3.7000 - -1.2590 bias 2.3000 - -1.1729 bias 2.1000 - -0.8734 bias 1.2000 - -1.4826 bias 1.5000 - -1.1280 bias 0.3000 - -0.1733 bias        
TOTAL 38.619500 36.431300 16.293500 15.731400 12.866000 11.353000 4.959000 3.472900 2.973400 2.682600 2.628000 0.473300 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000