Poll Average Details- ITA Chamber of Deputies - Popular Vote (Party) - 2013-04-14 16:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

PollMid DateTime WeightInternal Democratic Party People of Freedom Five Star Movement Civic Choice Northern League Left Ecology Freedom Civil Revolution Brothers of Italy Union of the Centre Act to Stop the Decline The Right Future and Freedom Great South - Movement for the Autonomies Democratic Centre Pensioners' Party Moderates in Revolution People's Agreement Others Italian Republican Party South Tyrolean People's Party Tricolour Flame Autonomy Liberty Democracy Associative Movement Italians Abroad Die Freiheitlichen Amnesty Justice Freedom List New Force With Monti for Italy Workers' Communist Party Free for a Fair Italy South American Union Italian Emigrants Italians for Freedom Union of Italians for South America Communist Party Together for the Italians Veneto State CasaPound Aosta Valley Nation Val d'Outa Progressive Valdostan Union PPA Movement I Love Italy Venetian Independence
Ipsos2/23X 1.00000   30.3000 - 1.3763 bias 20.2000 - -0.1542 bias 20.0000 - -0.6235 bias 8.7000 - 1.0654 bias 4.0000 - 0.1340 bias 3.2000 - 0.1979 bias 3.3000 - 1.2309 bias 2.5000 - -0.2016 bias 2.5000 - 0.8816 bias     0.7000 - 0.2792 bias                                                            
SWG2/7X 0.73333   29.5000 - 0.5667 bias 19.5000 - bias 18.8000 - 1.9470 bias 9.0000 - bias 5.2000 - -2.0677 bias 3.6000 - bias 4.1000 - bias 1.0000 - -0.6369 bias 2.7000 - bias 1.7000 - bias 1.1000 - bias 1.7000 - bias 0.7000 - bias 0.3000 - bias 0.1000 - bias 0.1000 - bias 0.1000 - bias                                                  
TOTAL 28.927762 19.992808 19.028288 8.212269 5.305181 3.255058 2.928327 2.251150 2.076000 1.700000 1.100000 0.962000 0.700000 0.300000 0.100000 0.100000 0.100000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000