Poll Average Details- Finland President - 2012-01-22 10:00:00
The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window -
the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0.
If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals
in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively
be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus).
[TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed.
Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.
| Poll | Mid Date | Time Weight | Internal |
Sauli Niinistö | Pekka Haavisto | Paavo Väyrynen | Timo Soini | Paavo Lipponen | Paavo Arhinmäki | Eva Biaudet | Sari Essayah |
|---|
| Research Insight | 1/18 | X 1.00000 |
|
32.0000 - -11.8608 bias |
13.0000 - -10.1784 bias |
11.0000 - -2.4616 bias |
6.0000 - -1.1762 bias |
4.0000 - -1.2218 bias |
3.0000 - -1.3682 bias |
2.0000 - 0.0411 bias |
2.0000 - 0.2651 bias |
| Taloustutkimus | 1/18 | X 1.00000 |
|
29.0000 - -2.8319 bias |
12.0000 - -0.9175 bias |
10.0000 - -0.5201 bias |
6.0000 - -0.7250 bias |
5.0000 - 0.2339 bias |
4.0000 - -0.4786 bias |
2.0000 - -0.5126 bias |
2.0000 - -0.0782 bias |
| TNS Gallup | 12/17 | X 0.46667 |
|
43.0000 - 4.5246 bias |
6.0000 - -4.4860 bias |
9.0000 - -2.3576 bias |
11.0000 - 1.1275 bias |
6.0000 - 0.5472 bias |
5.0000 - 0.9345 bias |
4.0000 - 0.8819 bias |
2.0000 - 0.0404 bias |
| TOTAL |
36.196092 |
15.550058 |
11.481350 |
7.278856 |
4.989992 |
4.391144 |
2.434388 |
1.963206 |