Poll Average Details- AK Governor - 2014-11-04 23:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

PollMid DateTime WeightInternal Sean Parnell Bill Walker Carolyn F. Clift J. R. Myers Write-In
Public Policy Polling11/2X 1.00000   45.0000 - -0.1911 bias 46.0000 - 1.9911 bias 2.0000 - 1.3665 bias 2.0000 - 0.9162 bias  
YouGov10/23X 0.83333   42.0000 - -0.0047 bias 39.0000 - 1.2001 bias      
Hellenthal & Associates (R)10/21X 0.80000   44.3000 - -1.3267 bias 42.5000 - -1.7243 bias 3.8000 - -0.2902 bias 0.8000 - -1.6205 bias  
Rasmussen Reports10/12X 0.65000   41.0000 - 1.5749 bias 50.0000 - 1.2092 bias      
Beacon Research (D) / Shaw & Company (R) - FOX News10/7X 0.56667   42.0000 - -0.7750 bias 37.0000 - 1.3894 bias 4.0000 - 1.3438 bias 1.0000 - -0.2726 bias  
Opinion Research Corporation (CNN)10/6X 0.55000   45.0000 - 0.4315 bias 51.0000 - 4.8590 bias      
Hays Research Group (D)9/14X 0.18333   30.0000 - -2.4573 bias 37.0000 - 19.2027 bias      
TOTAL 42.987281 41.764801 2.286270 1.580848 0.000000