Poll Average Details- RI Governor - 2014-11-04 20:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

Poll	Mid Date	Time Weight	Internal	Gina M. Raimondo	Allan W. Fung	Robert Healey	Write-In	Kate Fletcher	Leon Kayarian
Brown University	10/26	X 1.00000		38.0000 - 3.2620 bias	37.4000 - -2.6676 bias	11.8000 - -4.3437 bias
YouGov	10/23	X 0.95000		40.0000 - 1.4663 bias	35.0000 - -0.0047 bias
Fleming & Associates	10/9	X 0.71667		42.0000 - 0.6384 bias	36.0000 - 0.6713 bias	8.0000 - -2.4154 bias
Rasmussen Reports	9/25	X 0.48333		42.0000 - 0.4222 bias	37.0000 - 1.5749 bias
Public Opinion Strategies (R)	9/11	X 0.25000	X 1/2	42.0000 - -1.2826 bias	42.0000 - 2.6067 bias
TOTAL				38.624048	36.851072	13.752274	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000