Poll Average Details- FL US President - R Primary - 2012-01-31 18:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

PollMid DateTime WeightInternal Mitt Romney Newt Gingrich Rick Santorum Ron Paul Rick Perry Michele Bachmann Jon Huntsman Gary Johnson Herman Cain
Public Policy Polling1/30X 1.00000   39.0000 - -0.1911 bias 31.0000 - -0.1911 bias 15.0000 - -0.1911 bias 11.0000 - -0.1911 bias          
Survey USA1/29X 0.98333   41.0000 - 0.3321 bias 26.0000 - 0.3321 bias 12.0000 - 0.3321 bias 12.0000 - 0.3321 bias          
InsiderAdvantage1/29X 0.98333   36.0000 - 0.1719 bias 31.0000 - 0.1719 bias 12.0000 - 0.1719 bias 12.0000 - 0.1719 bias          
Quinnipiac University1/29X 0.98333   43.0000 - -0.4574 bias 29.0000 - -0.4574 bias 11.0000 - -0.4574 bias 11.0000 - -0.4574 bias          
We Ask America1/29X 0.98333   50.0000 - 0.7934 bias 28.0000 - 0.7934 bias 12.0000 - 0.7934 bias 11.0000 - 0.7934 bias          
American Research Group1/28X 0.96667   43.0000 - 0.7897 bias 32.0000 - 0.7897 bias 11.0000 - 0.7897 bias 8.0000 - 0.7897 bias          
Rasmussen Reports1/28X 0.96667   44.0000 - 1.5749 bias 28.0000 - 1.5749 bias 12.0000 - 1.5749 bias 10.0000 - 1.5749 bias          
Voter Survey Service (R)1/26X 0.93333   40.0000 - 0.3855 bias 31.0000 - 0.3855 bias 12.0000 - 0.3855 bias 9.0000 - 0.3855 bias          
Monmouth University1/25X 0.91667   39.0000 - -1.1567 bias 32.0000 - -1.1567 bias 11.0000 - -1.1567 bias 8.0000 - -1.1567 bias          
Time-CNN1/24X 0.90000   36.0000 - 0.8278 bias 34.0000 - 0.8278 bias 11.0000 - 0.8278 bias 9.0000 - 0.8278 bias          
Cherry Communications1/23X 0.88333   33.0000 - -0.0745 bias 33.0000 - -0.0745 bias 10.0000 - -0.0745 bias 6.0000 - -0.0745 bias          
Tyson Group (TelOpinion Research) (R)12/19X 0.30000   27.0000 - -6.5118 bias 26.0000 - -6.5118 bias 1.0000 - -6.5118 bias 5.0000 - -6.5118 bias 4.0000 - -6.5118 bias 4.0000 - -6.5118 bias 1.0000 - -6.5118 bias    
Marist Institute12/10X 0.15000   29.0000 - -0.7027 bias 44.0000 - -0.7027 bias 2.0000 - -0.7027 bias 8.0000 - -0.7027 bias 4.0000 - -0.7027 bias 3.0000 - -0.7027 bias 3.0000 - -0.7027 bias 0.0000 - -0.7027 bias  
TOTAL 39.357074 30.582426 11.165524 9.295102 8.575433 8.242100 6.242100 0.702700 0.000000