Poll Average Details- WI US President - 2004-11-02 23:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

Poll	Mid Date	Time Weight	Internal	George W. Bush George W. Bush	John F. Kerry John F. Kerry	David K. Cobb Uncommitted	Ralph Nader	Others	James E. Harris	Walter F. "Walt" Brown	Michael Badnarik Uncommitted
Opinion Dynamics (FOX)	10/31	X 1.00000		48.0000 - 1.7926 bias	45.0000 - -0.8684 bias
Zogby International	10/31	X 1.00000		44.0000 - 0.0434 bias	51.0000 - 0.8870 bias
Gallup	10/30	X 0.98333		52.0000 - 2.8840 bias	44.0000 - -2.6491 bias
University of Wisconsin (Badger Poll)	10/27	X 0.93333		48.0000 - -3.0816 bias	45.0000 - 2.7803 bias		3.0000 - 2.5781 bias
American Research Group	10/27	X 0.93333		47.0000 - 0.7897 bias	48.0000 - -0.0037 bias		1.0000 - 0.6757 bias
Strategic Vision (R)	10/19	X 0.80000		49.0000 - 1.1151 bias	46.0000 - -0.4798 bias		1.0000 - 1.4515 bias
Humphrey Institute/University of Minnesota	10/19	X 0.80000		48.0000 - -1.4775 bias	47.0000 - 1.3451 bias		1.7000 - 1.2021 bias				0.5000 - 0.2987 bias
Zogby Interactive	10/18	X 0.78333		47.5000 - 0.8374 bias	51.3000 - 0.0637 bias		0.2000 - -0.0999 bias
Mason-Dixon	10/18	X 0.78333		45.0000 - 0.8197 bias	45.0000 - 0.4628 bias		1.0000 - -0.0380 bias
Rasmussen Reports	10/14	X 0.71667		47.0000 - 1.5749 bias	48.0000 - 0.4222 bias	1.0000 - bias					1.0000 - 1.6402 bias
St. Norbert College	10/13	X 0.70000		43.0000 - -0.9458 bias	48.0000 - 2.4085 bias		2.0000 - 1.6037 bias
Chicago Tribune	10/11	X 0.66667		43.0000 - -2.7654 bias	47.0000 - 3.1934 bias		2.0000 - 1.1530 bias
Harris Interactive	9/26	X 0.41667		50.0000 - -0.0154 bias	40.0000 - 0.3835 bias		6.0000 - 1.4099 bias
Washington Post/ABC News	9/19	X 0.30000		53.0000 - -1.2476 bias	43.0000 - 2.1552 bias		1.0000 - 1.2394 bias
TOTAL				47.080898	46.111067	1.000000	0.627315	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	-0.196332