Poll Average Details- OH US President - 2004-11-02 18:30:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

Poll	Mid Date	Time Weight	Internal	George W. Bush George W. Bush	John F. Kerry John F. Kerry	Michael Badnarik	James E. Harris	David K. Cobb	Joe C. "Average Joe" Schriner	Michael A. Peroutka	John Parker	Richard A. Duncan	Thomas Zych
Harris Interactive	11/1	X 1.00000		47.0000 - -0.0154 bias	51.0000 - 0.3835 bias	1.0000 - 0.9430 bias
Survey USA	10/31	X 0.98333		49.0000 - 0.3321 bias	47.0000 - 0.6087 bias
Opinion Dynamics (FOX)	10/31	X 0.98333		50.0000 - 1.7926 bias	47.0000 - -0.8684 bias
Zogby International	10/31	X 0.98333		48.0000 - 0.0434 bias	44.0000 - 0.8870 bias
USA Today/CNN/Gallup	10/30	X 0.96667		46.0000 - -2.8015 bias	50.0000 - -2.3172 bias
Columbus Dispatch	10/29	X 0.95000		50.0000 - -1.5633 bias	50.0000 - 2.1707 bias
Mason-Dixon	10/29	X 0.95000		48.0000 - 0.8197 bias	46.0000 - 0.4628 bias
Rasmussen Reports	10/25	X 0.88333		50.0000 - 1.5749 bias	46.0000 - 0.4222 bias
American Research Group	10/25	X 0.88333		47.0000 - 0.7897 bias	49.0000 - -0.0037 bias
Scripps Research Center	10/21	X 0.81667		46.0000 - -2.8974 bias	50.0000 - 3.3767 bias
Gallup	10/20	X 0.80000		44.0000 - 2.8840 bias	50.0000 - -2.6491 bias
FOX News	10/18	X 0.76667		49.0000 - 0.9686 bias	44.0000 - -0.1896 bias
University of Cincinnati (The Ohio Poll)	10/17	X 0.75000		46.0000 - 0.3091 bias	48.0000 - 0.6231 bias
Washington Post/ABC News	10/17	X 0.75000		47.0000 - -1.2476 bias	50.0000 - 2.1552 bias
Strategic Vision (R)	10/11	X 0.65000		52.0000 - 1.1151 bias	42.0000 - -0.4798 bias
Chicago Tribune	10/11	X 0.65000		45.0000 - -2.7654 bias	49.0000 - 3.1934 bias
Zogby Interactive	10/5	X 0.55000		48.8000 - 0.8374 bias	49.1000 - 0.0637 bias
Lake Snell Perry & Associates (D)	9/26	X 0.40000		46.0000 - -2.4348 bias	46.0000 - 3.8851 bias
TOTAL				47.836166	47.239647	0.057000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000