Poll Average Details- MI Governor - 2010-11-02 19:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

PollMid DateTime WeightInternal Rick Snyder Peter HoekstraVirg Bernero Andy DillonKenneth L. Proctor Harley G. Mikkelson Angelo Scott Brown Larry James Hutchinson, Jr. Stacey Mathia Linda Blauwkamp George DeLorean James Mote Thomas Neuenfeldt Mark Van Kleeck Dovelyn Waynick
Glengariff Group10/26X 1.00000   53.0000 - -0.8955 bias 35.0000 - 0.7307 bias                      
Rasmussen Reports10/17X 0.85000   54.0000 - 1.5749 bias 34.0000 - 0.4222 bias                      
EPIC/MRA10/7X 0.68333   49.0000 - 0.5993 bias 29.0000 - 0.9594 bias                      
Public Policy Polling9/19X 0.38333   52.0000 - -0.1911 bias 31.0000 - 1.3449 bias                      
Rossman Group9/13X 0.28333   51.3000 - 5.8045 bias 31.8000 - -3.1128 bias                      
Mitchell Research & Communications8/29X 0.03333   53.0000 - -0.5753 bias 26.0000 - 1.8082 bias                      
TOTAL 51.406228 32.176592 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000