Poll Average Details- UKR President - Initial Election - 2004-10-31 23:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

PollMid DateTime WeightInternal Viktor Yanukovych Viktor Yushchenko Others Oleksandr Moroz Petro Symonenko Nataliya Vitrenko Anatoliy Kinakh Blank - Void Olaksander Yakovenko Oleksandr Omelchenko Leonid Chernovetsky Dmytro Korchinsky Andriy Chornovil Mykola Grabar Mykhailo Brodsky Yuriy Zbitnyev Sergiy Komisarenko Vasil Volga Bohdan Boyko Oleksander Rzhavsky Mykola Rogozhynsky Vladislav Krivobokov Oleksander Bazilyuk Igor Dushin Roman Kozak Volodimir Nechiporuk
Center for Social and Political Studies10/11X 1.00000   34.5000 - bias 31.8000 - bias 16.0000 - bias 6.1000 - bias 5.4000 - bias 1.1000 - bias 1.0000 - bias                                      
Center of Social and Political Investigations8/26X 0.23333   24.0000 - bias 30.0000 - bias   6.0000 - bias 7.0000 - bias 2.0000 - bias                                        
TOTAL 32.513514 31.459459 16.000000 6.081081 5.702703 1.270270 1.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000