Poll Average Details- MN US Senate - 2012-11-06 20:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

PollMid DateTime WeightInternal Amy Klobuchar Richard "Dick" FransonKurt Bills Bob "Again" Carney, Jr.Tim Davis Write-In Jack E. Shepard Michael James Cavlan Frank Forrestal Stephen Williams Stephen WilliamsAndrew Thomas Schuler
Public Policy Polling11/3X 1.00000   62.0000 - 1.3449 bias 32.0000 - -0.1911 bias              
YouGov11/3X 1.00000   60.0000 - 1.4663 bias 32.0000 - -0.0047 bias              
Survey USA10/28X 0.90000   60.0000 - 0.6087 bias 29.0000 - 0.3321 bias              
Mason-Dixon10/25X 0.85000   65.0000 - 0.4628 bias 22.0000 - 0.8197 bias              
Rasmussen Reports10/21X 0.78333   56.0000 - 0.4222 bias 33.0000 - 1.5749 bias              
Wenzel Strategies (R)9/6X 0.03333  X 1/2 51.6000 - -3.2645 bias 37.8000 - 4.5835 bias              
TOTAL 59.768778 29.268154 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000