Poll Average Details- Yucatan Governor - 2007-05-20 23:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

Poll	Mid Date	Time Weight	Internal	Ivonne Aracelly Ortega Pacheco	Xavier Abreu Sierra Blank - Void	Héctor "Cholo" Herrera Álvarez	Ana Rosa Payán Cervera	Jorge Lizcano Esperón	Others	Blank - Void
El Universal	4/29	X 1.00000		48.5000 - 2.6563 bias	45.5000 - 0.1101 bias	3.5000 - 1.2310 bias	2.5000 - -0.4424 bias
GEA-ISA	4/22	X 0.88333		35.0000 - -5.9953 bias	44.0000 - 6.1659 bias	4.0000 - -1.6016 bias	3.0000 - 0.2719 bias	0.0000 - -0.1597 bias
ARCOP	4/14	X 0.75000		34.0000 - -9.4489 bias	45.0000 - 11.1071 bias	2.0000 - -0.2866 bias	3.0000 - 0.3549 bias
TOTAL				43.535275	39.580897	3.391910	2.785841	0.159700	0.000000	0.000000