Poll Average Details- AL US President - R Primary - 2008-02-05 19:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

PollMid DateTime WeightInternal John McCain John McCainMike Huckabee John McCainMitt Romney John McCainRudy Giuliani John McCainRon Paul John McCainFred Thompson John McCainDuncan L. Hunter John McCainTom Tancredo John McCainAlan L. Keyes John McCain Uncommitted John McCainHugh Cort John McCain
Survey USA2/3X 1.00000   37.0000 35.0000 19.0000   6.0000            
Capital Survey Research Center2/1X 0.96667   38.0000 26.0000 15.0000                
Rasmussen Reports1/31X 0.95000   38.0000 30.0000 20.0000   5.0000            
Alabama State University1/29X 0.91667   20.0000 19.0000 12.0000 11.0000              
TOTAL 33.434783 27.665217 16.565217 11.000000 5.512821 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000