Poll Average Details- GA Lt. Governor - 2006-11-07 20:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

PollMid DateTime WeightInternal Casey Cagle Casey CagleJim Martin Jim MartinAllen Buckley Elbert A. "Al" Bartell
Strategic Vision (R)10/22X 1.00000   47.0000 - 1.1151 bias 39.0000 - -0.4798 bias 7.0000 - 1.5859 bias  
Mason-Dixon9/28X 0.60000   42.0000 - 0.8197 bias 32.0000 - 0.4628 bias 2.0000 - 0.2403 bias  
InsiderAdvantage9/20X 0.46667   37.0000 - 0.1719 bias 36.0000 - -0.3111 bias    
Cooper & Secrest Associates (D)9/3X 0.18333   38.0000 - -0.2690 bias 34.0000 - 0.6284 bias    
TOTAL 42.131338 36.206856 4.043700 0.000000