Poll Average Details- NV US President - 2008-11-04 23:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

PollMid DateTime WeightInternal Barack Obama Hillary ClintonJohn McCain Mitt RomneyCynthia McKinney Bob Barr Ralph Nader None of These Candidates Chuck Baldwin
Public Policy Polling11/2X 1.00000   51.0000 - 1.4367 bias 47.0000 - -0.2365 bias          
YouGov11/1X 0.98333   51.0000 - 1.5208 bias 46.0000 - -0.0504 bias          
Zogby International11/1X 0.98333   50.7000 - 0.8870 bias 42.9000 - 0.0434 bias          
Mason-Dixon10/29X 0.93333   47.0000 - 0.4817 bias 43.0000 - 0.8083 bias          
Research 200010/28X 0.91667   50.0000 - 1.1463 bias 45.0000 - 0.1379 bias          
Opinion Research Corporation (CNN)10/28X 0.91667   52.0000 - 0.8606 bias 45.0000 - 0.4315 bias          
Rasmussen Reports10/27X 0.90000   50.0000 - 0.4379 bias 46.0000 - 1.5515 bias          
Suffolk University10/27X 0.90000   50.0000 - 1.6686 bias 40.0000 - -2.1920 bias          
GfK10/26X 0.88333   52.0000 - -2.9532 bias 40.0000 - -4.0330 bias          
InsiderAdvantage10/13X 0.66667   49.0000 - -0.1034 bias 46.0000 - 0.2182 bias          
Zogby Interactive10/9X 0.60000   47.5000 - 0.0637 bias 47.1000 - 0.8374 bias          
American Research Group9/29X 0.43333   47.0000 - -0.0037 bias 49.0000 - 0.7897 bias          
Grove Insight (D)9/19X 0.26667   47.0000 - 2.8547 bias 45.0000 - -1.0926 bias          
TOTAL 49.335017 44.720918 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000