Poll Average Details- OH US President - 2008-11-04 19:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

PollMid DateTime WeightInternal Barack Obama Hillary ClintonJohn McCain John McCainCynthia McKinney Bob Barr Ralph Nader James Germalic Brian P. Moore Alan L. Keyes Joe C. "Average Joe" Schriner Chuck Baldwin Richard A. Duncan Jonathan E. Allen Donald K. Allen Platt Robertson
Rasmussen Reports11/2X 1.00000   49.0000 - 0.4222 bias 49.0000 - 1.5749 bias                        
University of Cincinnati (The Ohio Poll)11/2X 1.00000   51.5000 - 0.6231 bias 45.7000 - 0.3091 bias                        
Survey USA11/2X 1.00000   48.0000 - 0.6087 bias 46.0000 - 0.3321 bias                        
Quinnipiac University11/2X 1.00000   50.0000 - 1.4883 bias 43.0000 - -0.4574 bias                        
Public Policy Polling11/2X 1.00000   50.0000 - 1.3449 bias 48.0000 - -0.1911 bias                        
YouGov11/1X 0.98333   51.0000 - 1.4663 bias 45.0000 - -0.0047 bias                        
Zogby International11/1X 0.98333   50.2000 - 0.8870 bias 43.9000 - 0.0434 bias                        
Columbus Dispatch10/31X 0.96667   52.0000 - 2.1707 bias 46.0000 - -1.5633 bias                        
Opinion Research Corporation (CNN)10/28X 0.91667   51.0000 - 0.8606 bias 47.0000 - 0.4315 bias                        
Financial Dynamics10/27X 0.90000   48.0000 - -0.0513 bias 41.0000 - 1.0303 bias                        
LA Times10/27X 0.90000   49.0000 - 1.0135 bias 40.0000 - 1.0817 bias                        
GfK10/26X 0.88333   48.0000 - -2.9532 bias 41.0000 - -4.0330 bias                        
Marist Institute10/26X 0.88333   48.0000 - 1.2095 bias 45.0000 - -0.7027 bias                        
Strategic Vision (R)10/22X 0.81667   45.0000 - -0.4798 bias 48.0000 - 1.1151 bias                        
Big Ten10/22X 0.81667   53.0000 - 3.5079 bias 41.0000 - -1.9740 bias                        
Suffolk University10/19X 0.76667   51.0000 - 1.6916 bias 42.0000 - -2.2107 bias                        
Mason-Dixon10/17X 0.73333   45.0000 - 0.4628 bias 46.0000 - 0.8197 bias                        
Zogby Interactive10/9X 0.60000   44.8000 - 0.0637 bias 49.5000 - 0.8374 bias                        
InsiderAdvantage10/9X 0.60000   49.0000 - -0.3111 bias 44.0000 - 0.1719 bias                        
American Research Group10/7X 0.56667   48.0000 - -0.0037 bias 45.0000 - 0.7897 bias                        
TNS10/5X 0.53333   51.0000 - 0.7968 bias 45.0000 - -0.0062 bias                        
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research (D)10/1X 0.46667   49.0000 - 2.2050 bias 43.0000 - -1.6040 bias                        
TOTAL 48.501354 44.937471 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000