Poll Average Details- CT District 5 - 2006-11-07 20:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

Poll	Mid Date	Time Weight	Internal	Chris Murphy	Nancy L. Johnson
Research 2000	10/29	X 1.00000		46.0000 - 1.1463 bias	43.0000 - 0.1379 bias
University of Connecticut	10/28	X 0.98333		46.0000 - -0.1361 bias	42.0000 - 0.6120 bias
Constituent Dynamics	10/26	X 0.95000		51.0000 - 1.7318 bias	43.0000 - -0.3437 bias
Grove Insight (D)	10/12	X 0.71667		45.0000 - 2.8547 bias	40.0000 - -1.0926 bias
RT Strategies	10/10	X 0.68333		46.0000 - 1.1300 bias	52.0000 - -0.7374 bias
American Viewpoint (R)	10/2	X 0.55000		42.0000 - -3.0523 bias	52.0000 - 2.7494 bias
Westhill Consulting (D)	9/27	X 0.46667		42.0000 - -6.4636 bias	42.0000 - 6.4636 bias
TOTAL				45.847863	43.718732