Poll Average Details- Iceland Althingi - Popular Vote - 2024-11-30 17:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

Poll	Mid Date	Time Weight	Internal	Social Democratic Alliance	Reform Party	Independence Party	People's Party	Centre Party	Progressive Party	Left-Green Movement	Socialist Party of Iceland	Pirate Party	The Democratic Party	Responsible Future
Gallup	11/29	X 1.00000		20.0000 - 2.8147 bias	17.6000 - 0.4674 bias	18.4000 - -0.2723 bias	12.6000 - -2.6335 bias	11.2000 - 0.1393 bias	6.8000 - -1.8676 bias	3.1000 - 0.0584 bias	4.8000 - 1.2394 bias	4.1000 - 1.5697 bias	1.4000 - bias	0.0000 - bias
Prósent	11/28	X 0.98333		21.8000 - bias	17.6000 - bias	14.7000 - bias	11.2000 - bias	12.0000 - bias	6.4000 - bias	3.4000 - -6.0061 bias	5.8000 - bias	5.5000 - bias	1.2000 - bias
Maskína	11/28	X 0.98333		20.4000 - 3.9847 bias	19.2000 - 1.8516 bias	14.5000 - -2.8097 bias	10.8000 - -2.5996 bias	11.6000 - 0.0949 bias	7.8000 - -1.7474 bias	3.7000 - -0.7989 bias	5.0000 - 2.0566 bias	5.4000 - 1.6535 bias	1.1000 - bias	0.5000 - bias
TOTAL				18.459667	17.359054	16.903990	13.288688	11.519342	8.207599	5.634219	4.098296	3.917761	1.234270	0.247899