Poll Average Details- NLD EU Parliament - Popular Vote - 2024-06-06 14:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

Poll	Mid Date	Time Weight	Internal	Party for Freedom	PvdA–GroenLinks	People's Party for Freedom and Democracy	Democrats 66	Christian Democratic Appeal	Farmer–Citizen Movement	Volt Europa	New Social Contract	Party for the Animals	Reformed Political Party	Socialist Party	ChristianUnion	Forum for Democracy	JA21	50PLUS	Belang van Nederland	Pirate Party – The Greens	The Netherlands with a PLAN	More Direct Democracy	vandeRegio
Ipsos	6/5	X 1.00000		21.3000 - 1.4260 bias	19.5000 - -0.7702 bias	13.8000 - 2.2895 bias	7.1000 - -1.1767 bias	6.1000 - -0.3198 bias	4.0000 - -0.9017 bias	4.4000 - -0.0245 bias	5.0000 - 0.5586 bias	3.6000 - 0.1790 bias	2.4000 - -0.1022 bias	3.6000 - 1.2300 bias	2.7000 - 0.4197 bias	2.7000 - 1.1335 bias		0.6000 - -0.0447 bias
I&O Research	4/15	X 0.15000		22.0000 - -0.3530 bias	18.7000 - -0.0619 bias	12.6000 - -0.2081 bias	7.8000 - -0.7767 bias	5.4000 - -1.0420 bias	4.3000 - -0.8235 bias	4.7000 - 0.3159 bias	4.2000 - 0.7419 bias	4.6000 - 0.2280 bias	3.3000 - 0.0463 bias	3.6000 - 0.7786 bias	3.0000 - 0.3749 bias	3.1000 - -0.1338 bias	1.1000 - 0.0454 bias
TOTAL				20.197348	20.073465	11.679752	8.315830	6.422696	4.930630	4.419230	4.313143	3.545043	2.600222	2.428878	2.325274	1.783974	1.054600	0.644700	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000