Poll Average Details- UK Parliament - Scotland - 2024-07-04 16:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

Poll	Mid Date	Time Weight	Internal	Labour Party	Scottish National Party	Conservative Party	Liberal Democrats	Reform UK	Alba Party	Scottish Green Party	Others	Independents	Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition	Scottish Family Party
Savanta	5/28	X 1.00000		37.0000 - 3.4657 bias	33.0000 - 1.1088 bias	17.0000 - 0.5266 bias	7.0000 - 0.4282 bias
Redfield & Wilton Strategies	4/7	X 0.15000		33.0000 - 6.5322 bias	32.0000 - 0.4539 bias	17.0000 - -2.7762 bias	8.0000 - 0.8327 bias	5.0000 - 0.3201 bias	2.0000 - -0.0409 bias	2.0000 - bias
YouGov	4/2	X 0.06667		33.0000 - -2.5726 bias	31.0000 - -1.7894 bias	14.0000 - -1.9396 bias	7.0000 - 2.0691 bias	7.0000 - 1.8239 bias		5.0000 - 2.9157 bias
TOTAL				32.774775	31.897870	16.851345	6.555305	4.832577	2.040900	2.025938	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000