Poll Average Details- MN US Senate - 2024-11-05 20:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

Poll	Mid Date	Time Weight	Internal	Amy Klobuchar George H. Kalberer	Royce White Raymond D. Petersen	Joyce Lynne Lacey	Rebecca Whiting	Write-In	Steve Carlson	Christopher Lovell Seymore, Sr.	Richard D. Pecar	Nicholas Shillingford
AtlasIntel	11/4	X 1.00000		52.6000 - 0.6813 bias	41.2000 - 0.6043 bias
Research Co.	11/3	X 0.98333		55.0000 - 2.9639 bias	38.0000 - -0.8902 bias
ActiVote	10/31	X 0.93333		56.4000 - bias	43.6000 - bias
Chism Strategies (D)	10/30	X 0.91667		52.0000 - -0.4530 bias	35.0000 - 1.2351 bias	2.0000 - bias	1.0000 - bias
Rasmussen Reports	10/28	X 0.88333		51.0000 - 0.4222 bias	40.0000 - 1.5749 bias
Embold Research	10/22	X 0.78333		52.0000 - 0.6870 bias	40.0000 - 0.5182 bias
Redfield & Wilton Strategies	10/14	X 0.65000		42.0000 - 5.3290 bias	35.0000 - -3.3508 bias	2.0000 - bias	1.0000 - 0.2578 bias
Mason-Dixon	9/18	X 0.21667		51.0000 - 0.4628 bias	40.0000 - 0.8197 bias
TOTAL				50.806424	39.073647	2.000000	0.893040	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000