Poll Average Details- MB Parliament - Winnipeg South Centre - By-election - 2023-06-19 20:30:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

PollMid DateTime WeightInternal Ben Carr Damir Stipanovic Julia Riddell Sébastien CoRhino Côrriveau Donovan Eckstrom Martin "Acetaria Caesar" Jubinville Saleh Waziruddin Spencer Rocchi Myriam Beaulieu Alain Lamontagne Glen MacDonald Dji-Pé Frazer Jevin David Carroll Manon Lili Desbiens Alexandra Engering Ryan Huard Eliana Rosenblum Mark Dejewski Chris Clacio Ysack Dupont Daniel Gagnon Marie-Hélène LeBel Roger Sherwood Julie St-Amand Pascal St-Amand Ben Teichman Darcy Justin Vanderwater Line Bélanger Alain Bourgault Jael Champagne Gareau Jordan Wong Gavin Vanderwater Mario Stocco Paul Stewart Lorant Polya Tait Palsson Yusuf Nasihi Connie Lukawski Krzysztof Krzywinski Andrew Kozakewich Demetrios Karavas John Dale Gerrit Dogger Stella Galas Anthony Hamel Patrick Strzalkowski Douglas Hemmerling Tylor Baer
Mainstreet Research6/14X 1.00000   49.0000 - -1.0502 bias 29.0000 - -1.0095 bias 16.0000 - 0.3843 bias                                                                                       2.0000 - 2.2081 bias 2.0000 - 2.3689 bias
TOTAL 50.050200 30.009500 15.615700 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 -0.208100 -0.368900