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New Hampshire’s 2020 status anxiety
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| Contributor | ev0lv |
| Last Edited | ev0lv Nov 11, 2019 12:35pm |
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| Category | Commentary |
| Author | Ella Nilson |
| News Date | Monday, November 11, 2019 12:10:00 PM UTC0:0 |
| Description | The type of big-ego New Hampshire politicos who like to repeat Gov. John Sununu’s famous dig — “the people of Iowa pick corn, the people of New Hampshire pick presidents” — fear their bragging rights might be in danger.
Presidential campaigns and candidates typically spend lots of time and energy on the ground in New Hampshire. The state’s first-in-the-nation primary turned around the political fortunes of candidates who ultimately became president like Jimmy Carter, Bill Clinton, and Donald Trump. Winning New Hampshire increases the average candidate’s chances of taking the nomination by 27 percent.
The New York Times called John McCain’s victory in New Hampshire a Lazarus-like win in 2008.
“We had a lot of people running, they all invested in Iowa,” John Weaver, McCain’s chief political adviser in his 2000 and 2008 presidential campaigns, told Vox. “None of them made it, they all dropped out before New Hampshire. So the investment [we] really put into the state really paid off.”
While candidates are still flocking to New Hampshire in 2020, it isn’t the centerpiece of any major campaign’s strategy so far. Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders, who won the New Hampshire Democratic primary in a landslide in 2016 and literally lives next door in Vermont, is making Iowa the setting for his 2020 return (although Sanders is spending more time on the ground in Iowa, he recently launched a $1 million ad buy in New Hampshire). Many other Democrats are also favoring Iowa; Sen. Kamala Harris even closed some of her New Hampshire offices to focus on the Hawkeye State. |
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