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"A comprehensive, collaborative elections resource."
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Trump is on his way to an easy win in 2020, according to Moody’s accurate election model
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| Parent(s) |
Race
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| Contributor | RP |
| Last Edited | RP Oct 15, 2019 11:26am |
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| Category | Analysis |
| Author | Jeff Cox |
| News Date | Tuesday, October 15, 2019 04:00:00 PM UTC0:0 |
| Description | President Donald Trump looks likely to cruise to re-election next year under three different economic models Moody’s Analytics employed to gauge the 2020 race.
Barring anything unusual happening, the president’s Electoral College victory could easily surpass his 2016 win over Democrat Hillary Clinton, which came by a 304-227 count.
Moody’s based its projections on how consumers feel about their own financial situation, the gains the stock market has achieved during Trump’s tenure, and the prospects for unemployment, which has fallen to a 50-year low. Should those variables hold up, the president looks set to get another four-year term.
The modeling has been highly accurate going back to the 1980 election, missing only once. |
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