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Pennsylvania’s New Map Helps Democrats. But It’s Not A Democratic Gerrymander.
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News
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| Contributor | RP |
| Last Edited | RP Feb 20, 2018 12:33pm |
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| Category | Analysis |
| Author | Aaron Bycoffe |
| News Date | Tuesday, February 20, 2018 06:35:00 PM UTC0:0 |
| Description | Pennsylvania’s new congressional district map, released Monday by the state Supreme Court, is sure to improve Democrats’ electoral outlook in the state. Over the long term, Democrats can expect to occupy one to two additional seats compared with the current map, according to a FiveThirtyEight analysis. (The state’s congressional delegation currently has 12 Republicans and five Democrats. One seat is vacant.)
Compared with the current map, the new one could easily be mistaken for a Democratic gerrymander. In reality, it gets much closer to matching the political makeup of Pennsylvania’s electorate,1 which is about evenly divided. (President Trump carried the Keystone State by less than 1 percentage point in 2016, for example.) The new map also splits fewer municipalities and has districts that are more compact than the current one. |
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