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  de Blasio on verge of avoiding runoff
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ContributorHomegrown Democrat 
Last EditedHomegrown Democrat  Sep 08, 2013 09:36pm
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CategoryPoll
AuthorTom Jensen
News DateMonday, September 9, 2013 04:10:00 AM UTC0:0
DescriptionPPP's look at the New York City mayoral race finds Bill de Blasio on the cusp of winning the Democratic nomination outright Tuesday. He's polling at 38% to 19% for William Thompson, 13% for Christine Quinn, 9% for Anthony Weiner, and 5% for John Liu with minor candidates combining for 7% of the vote and 10% still undecided.

If undecided voters broke in proportion to their current level of support- of course no guarantee- de Blasio would win with 42% to 21% for Thompson. Even if de Blasio falls short of 40% Tuesday though he's still in very strong position for a potential runoff, leading Thompson 53/33 and Quinn 67/21 in hypothetical match ups.

De Blasio's in a strong position for Tuesday because he is popular with every segment of the electorate. His overall favorability is 62/18, and he leads with men and women, Hispanics, whites, African American, and Asians, young voters and older voters, voters in every borough, and liberals, moderates, and conservatives alike.

Thompson is also very popular with favorability numbers almost as strong as de Blasio's at 57/18. The problem for him is that among voters who like both Thompson and de Blasio, de Blasio has a 53/22 advantage. The other major contenders are extremely unpopular with Quinn sporting a 34/48 favorability rating and Weiner at 20/66.
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