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Votes, money keep Minnick from being vulnerable
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Candidate
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| Contributor | Jason |
| Last Edited | Jason Nov 22, 2009 02:44am |
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| Category | Analysis |
| Author | Kevin Richert |
| News Date | Sunday, November 22, 2009 08:00:00 AM UTC0:0 |
| Description | One year from the 2010 elections, Idaho Rep. Walt Minnick has made an unenviable Top 10 list.
The first-term lawmaker has made the list of the 10 most vulnerable House incumbents, as compiled by the newspaper Roll Call, a Beltway reading staple.
Ranking aside, how much is Minnick at risk?
Minnick certainly fits the vulnerability profile explored by Roll Call's Bob Benenson. Minnick is a Democrat who rode his party's gains to win in a conservative congressional district. Nine lawmakers on Benenson's top 10 list are Democrats. Six of them represent districts that supported Republican John McCain in the 2008 presidential election - in Minnick's district, McCain won by 26 percentage points.
Writes Benenson: "Minnick's 2008 win in an Idaho Republican stronghold would have been a shocking upset - had it not been for a deeply flawed incumbent. ... (Rep. Bill Sali's) hard-line conservatism and his reputation as personally abrasive cut deeply into his support among the district's Republican base." |
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