https://twitter.com/jontester/status/1774819465525702772

In 2018 at this point he had a -20 point disapproval among Republicans and today he has a -43% disapproval.

this joker probably thinks ukraine isn't corrupt

In 2018 at this point he had a -20 point disapproval among Republicans and today he has a -43% disapproval. Cuz the former Child Molester-in-Cheif is demanding Montana Elect Open Borders Sheehy over Border-Hawk Tester. Lol

Tester has won every Montana Senate election since 2016 (except for 2020) so I feel good about his chances this year

I do suspect Tester is going to get his comeuppance this year. This farcical lampoon where he pretends to be a workin' fella from Montana, while his voting record is indistinguishable from that of Maize Hirono, was good for three terms in the Senate. This manipulative consultant's trick may not work for a fourth. There are "workin' fellas" who vote like Tester (or Hirono).

Don't worry Montana will have a chance to vote for the GOP's newest version of their template out-of-state, family money CEO candidate that is running for better access for their businesses to leech off the government teat when Sheehy is officially nominated.

Its possible it could get real bad for Dems this year. Polls aren't great in any of the key races including this one. They political dynamics now are interesting as well with division over Gaza in the Democratic Party, the "Peaceful" college protests, and polls showing Biden trailing in a lot of these competitive states. Frankly, if its ends up not being a good year for Democrats and is in fact a bad year for Democrats then I don't see how Tester will survive.

Although I do wish polling looked better for Biden, we need to remind ourselves that most people are not paying attention to the race and won't until Labor Day so polls don't mean very much. I expect the environment to look much more favorable to Democrats in the fall thanks to abortion, abortion, and abortion just as it has been in elections the last couple years. Even then, this will certainly be Tester's toughest race since his first Senate race.

Are we assuming Sheehy won't accidentally shoot himself again?

There are "workin' fellas" who vote like Tester (or Hirono). While that's certainly true, such people do not comprise a very large share of the Montana electorate.