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| R:7114 | Kyle ( 752.36 points)
 x3
| March 05, 2020 05:18pm |
Old Dominion Democrat: If you're Doug Jones, who would you rather face?
Sessions. Trump wouldn't go all-in for Sessions out of vindictiveness. There would be a much larger share of Trump/Jones voters. Whereas, he would absolutely go all out for Tuberville
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| D:1989 | RBH ( 5212.23 points)
x2
| March 05, 2020 04:15pm |
the biggest swerve of this entire primary would involve Michigan's polling being accurate
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| D:1 | RP ( 5506.72 points)
x2
| February 21, 2020 04:50pm |
I don't think MN is moving the GOP's way. The rural areas are about maxed out and the suburbs are moving blue (much faster than WI).
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| I:1038 | WA Indy ( 1790.97 points)
| December 22, 2019 02:57pm |
E Pluribus Unum: Democrats lost 4 Senate seats using that strategy, a Conservative Democrat and a Republican are the same. If NC District 11 wants a Gun Loving Abortion hating conservative, why pick Shuler when you have the Republican.
What? So Bernie would have won Indiana? I'm not sure what your point is. That permanent minority status is okay so long as the party you don't even belong to is pure?
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| R:7114 | Kyle ( 752.36 points)
| December 21, 2019 02:57pm |
E Pluribus Unum: No thanks. Good day
Yeah, why would democrats want someone who could actually win? They should run a Young Turks guy for everything!
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| D:1 | RP ( 5506.72 points)
| October 15, 2019 11:52am |
PPP Collins: 41%, Generic Dem: 44%
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| D:1 | RP ( 5506.72 points)
| July 26, 2019 09:50am |
You should never replace someone that drops out - that's why there's a drop out date.
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The vast majority of the 2016 Democratic party was against Bernie because he wasn't a Democrat. But he got a full hearing, and he legitimately got fewer votes. Don't die on this hill.
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| I:1038 | WA Indy ( 1790.97 points)
| July 18, 2019 01:28pm |
Huh? They're only popular because of their relationships with Sanders? Dude, does Sanders just hand out the Kool-aid at his rallies or do I have to look up a recipe somewhere?
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| I:1038 | WA Indy ( 1790.97 points)
| July 18, 2019 12:35pm |
The most popular and unpopular senators are determined by total approval and total disapproval, with net approval (approval minus disapproval) serving as the tiebreaker.
King's disapproval is 4 points lower than Sanders which broke the tie.
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| D:1 | RP ( 5506.72 points)
| July 18, 2019 11:50am |
There's no way to prove a negative. How would he prove that he's never heard it? The only thing that could be done is to counter it by showing an instance where Sanders did accept responsibility - that would be proving a positive.
[Link]
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| D:1 | RP ( 5506.72 points)
| July 18, 2019 06:31am |
E Pluribus Unum: Citation?
Proof of a negative?
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| D:1 | RP ( 5506.72 points)
x2
| June 14, 2019 11:21am |
Democrats are touting a post-primary poll that showed him over 50 percent, and 15 points ahead of Bevin; Republicans say his lead isn’t that strong, but they concede that it’s probably double digits, and they are worried. - [Link] |
Race
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| I:1038 | WA Indy ( 1790.97 points)
x2
| May 13, 2019 09:40am |
Do we need a populace this dumb?
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| D:1 | RP ( 5506.72 points)
| January 03, 2019 10:05pm |
Old Dominion Democrat: For people who know California better than me, it is possible to redistrict McCarthy out of a seat? Or draw him into an unwinnable seat?
If you had full control and tried hard enough, probably, but CA has an independent redistricting committee.
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| D:1 | RP ( 5506.72 points)
| November 21, 2018 11:31am |
Yeah. I guess they hate Feinstein so much they'd go for someone more liberal. Probably because she's the face of gun control.
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| D:1989 | RBH ( 5212.23 points)
| November 18, 2018 06:49pm |
my favorite version of that sort of thing involved the Cordray campaign manager reacting to his candidate losing by saying Dems shouldn't invest in Ohio.
Sometimes Dems losing an election by a single digit margin is treated like the area has now become Kentucky and is now solid Republican.
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| D:1 | RP ( 5506.72 points)
| November 12, 2018 01:26pm |
This was actually a GOP plan that backfired on them. - [Link]
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| I:6738 | IndyGeorgia ( 3906.04 points)
| November 04, 2018 08:20pm |
From Jon Ralston's prediction article:
If Heller loses – and I am only slightly more confident of this prediction than I was of the one I made six years ago – there will be something Shakespearean in his being ousted by Rosen, who is in the contest because of a recommendation by Las Vegas Judge Elissa Cadish. Cadish should be a federal judge by now, but Heller, in an extraordinary act of demagoguery and pettiness, blocked her from becoming one in 2013. Now Cadish is poised to become a state Supreme Court justice and her bridesmaid, Rosen, is about to become a U.S. senator. [Link]
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| I:6738 | IndyGeorgia ( 3906.04 points)
| November 03, 2018 04:23pm |
Old Dominion Democrat, I'm pretty sure the answer is yes. SoS looks most likely.
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| D:1989 | RBH ( 5212.23 points)
| October 31, 2018 05:29pm |
both of those initiatives are pretty low profile because there isn't much of a visible opposition effort against them
There is some sniping between the Marijuana questions trying to boost their question and sink a different question.
Also Minimum Wage initiatives typically pass big and don't get much push back
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| I:1038 | WA Indy ( 1790.97 points)
x4
| October 30, 2018 05:42pm |
No one asked.
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| D:1 | RP ( 5506.72 points)
| October 19, 2018 11:34am |
You're an idiot.
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| D:9583 | Caprice ( 91.51 points)
x3
| October 11, 2018 07:21pm |
BLUEDOGS: Old Dominion: Runoff elections benefit GOPers in GA in statewide elections.
So you've gone from stating the obvious to stating the already stated?
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| D:1989 | RBH ( 5212.23 points)
| October 10, 2018 10:44pm |
there was a pretty big swing towards Eisenhower in the farm states of the Midwest in 1952, and then it swung back towards the Ds a little in 56.
And the swing here was enough that this area really didn't swing much towards Kennedy either (also, other obvious factors came into play with Kennedy in this part of the country). South Dakota was one of Nixon's 5 best states in 1960
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