Home About Chat Users Issues Party Candidates Polling Firms Media News Polls Calendar Key Races United States President Senate House Governors International

New User Account
"A comprehensive, collaborative elections resource." 
Email: Password:

  RBH
USER DETAILS
Screen NameRBH   
NameBrandon
LocationIndependence, ,
Email
BirthdayNovember 11, 1985
AffiliationDemocratic
First LoginNovember 29, 2006 08:40pm
Last LoginApril 27, 2024 03:04pm
Predictions Points: 5212.2285
Predictions: 2571/3032 (84.80%)
Points Per: 5212.2285/3032 (1.72)
Messages Posted 3,770
DISCUSSION
 
D:1989RBH ( 5212.23 points)May 19, 2024 08:12pm
likely more about teacher's unions being the most powerful union in a lot of areas of the state, and if that's not enough, the people who felt this also attacked local control
Race

 
D:1989RBH ( 5212.23 points)May 19, 2024 12:47pm
Hikikomori Blitzkrieg!: what was going on in Crawford County in 1912?

Southeast Kansas had a lot of Lead Mining (mostly south of Crawford county) and for various reasons, socialism and miners went well together at that time
Race

 
D:1989RBH ( 5212.23 points)May 17, 2024 04:13pm
a bit of a unique deviation map when you consider the subject matter also it didn't come close to passing anywhere
Race

 
D:1989RBH ( 5212.23 points)May 17, 2024 11:58am
Love how Michigan ballot access is "$100 fee" for the legislature and "you gotta actually do work" for everything else..
Race

 
D:1989RBH ( 5212.23 points)May 15, 2024 04:08pm
she's registered nonpartisan despite her campaign a few years ago
Race

 
D:1989RBH ( 5212.23 points)May 15, 2024 02:48pm
between this primary and MD03, 2024 might be another good year for female candidates in Dem primaries
Race

 
D:1989RBH ( 5212.23 points)May 15, 2024 02:15am
Ernie might be in for an actual race here as opposed to just rolling in by 30% because he's Ernie
Race

 
D:1989RBH ( 5212.23 points)May 14, 2024 01:57pm
yeah, Parties sounds better than alliances here
Race

 
D:1989RBH ( 5212.23 points)May 14, 2024 01:56pm
the 3 Dems filed after Malan, which I suspect was also a factor

of course all 3 of those Dems are thinking of scenarios where they finish 2nd, Newhouse finishes 3rd ala WA03 2022, and then they're a contender (until they lose)
Race

 
D:1989RBH ( 5212.23 points)May 13, 2024 11:47pm
I didn't end up entering the 'fake' Bob Fergusons because I didn't realize there was an organized effort to do that (both 'fake' Bobs withdrew today after AG Bob threatened a lawsuit)
Race

 
D:1989RBH ( 5212.23 points)May 13, 2024 09:58pm
added the new legislative district map, which went reasonably quick since it was just 13 of 49 districts changing and I could copy and paste district lines twice after getting it in for the Senate map

well, quick aside from having to tell it which 49 House districts to attach and not attach while creating the two House maps
Container

 
D:1989RBH ( 5212.23 points)May 13, 2024 05:33pm
so, Bell or Abell?
Race

 
D:1989RBH ( 5212.23 points)May 13, 2024 01:33pm
feels like having more Democrats (counting Malan here) than Republicans in this field is setting up for a Newhouse vs Smiley top 2
Race

 
D:1989RBH ( 5212.23 points)May 11, 2024 02:08pm
finishing this up and then glancing and realizing it was a 65 candidate race sure was something

and for whatever reason, i've found the Oakland paper on Newspapers.com is either more likely to list the unofficial SF results (or I just haven't figured out where to find those results in the SF paper on Newspapers)
Race

 
D:1989RBH ( 5212.23 points)May 10, 2024 09:21pm
Just San Francisco things
Candidate

 
D:1989RBH ( 5212.23 points)May 10, 2024 12:28pm
yeah, I expect most of the vote totals I find through Newspapers.com are gonna be unofficial except for areas whose newspapers report official vote totals (Louisville!)

I actually have an idea with the CA State Assembly elections to add more stuff pre-1960 but I haven't gotten around to it
User

 
D:1989RBH ( 5212.23 points)May 09, 2024 07:46pm
Newspapers.com having a free preview weekend (through Sunday) allowed for me to find that there was a news source that reported vote totals here (instead of the Jackson Clarion-Ledger with partial results having Evers up for a seat he didn't win)

So that's nice.. I might try to make something of the preview weekend since Newspapers.com changed their search page recently
Race

 
D:1989RBH ( 5212.23 points)May 09, 2024 12:32pm
yeah it wouldn't shock me if there were 1990 Census block shapefiles somewhere but it's probably in a format that existed 30 years ago
Race

 
D:1989RBH ( 5212.23 points)May 08, 2024 01:58pm
I haven't found a date of death for her, so it's possible this news wasn't widely known until she won the primary
Candidate

 
D:1989RBH ( 5212.23 points)May 08, 2024 01:03pm
amused at how this district includes the water around some islands but not those actual islands
Race

 
D:1989RBH ( 5212.23 points)May 07, 2024 01:04pm
NYS had had a more modern election results archive for a month or two: [Link]

it's just that most of the stuff on there is already on here (but we now have a map for Moynihan vs Sharpton)
Container

 
D:1989RBH ( 5212.23 points)May 06, 2024 08:30pm
guessing the big issue in contested elections for County Surveyor is somehow taxes (I don't know if they have any power/influence over taxes)
Race

 
D:1989RBH ( 5212.23 points)May 06, 2024 03:05pm
yeah changing this over seems like a good idea

even if this is New Jersey and they might do the full term selection before the primary anyways
Race

 
D:1989RBH ( 5212.23 points)May 06, 2024 01:15pm
there's a few counties where I don't think a candidate list is online right now (NYS only posts the multi-county districts outside of NYC) but whenever they post a general election candidate list, it'll be up somewhere (unless the AP posts primary results which will include unopposed primary candidates)

so.. feel free to add candidates who will be in the general election for a place where NYC where i'm not expecting a list of petition filers.

The counties where I haven't found filers are Albany, Nassau (which could change soon), and NYC. I found lists for places like Broome, Erie, Monroe, Onondaga, Suffolk, Westchester
Container

 
D:1989RBH ( 5212.23 points)May 05, 2024 02:14pm
a bit of a swing from March where Johnson led Cook by 16% going into a runoff for the full term that will be in a few weeks
Race

   Next Page - >