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  PA US Senate - D Primary
RACE DETAILS
Parents > United States > Pennsylvania > Senate Class III
OfficeSenate
HonorificSenator - Abbr: Sen.
TypeDemocratic Primary Election
Filing Deadline April 07, 2022 - 12:00pm Central
Polls Open May 17, 2022 - 06:00am Central
Polls Close May 17, 2022 - 07:00pm Central
Term Start January 03, 2023 - 12:00pm
Term End January 03, 2029 - 12:00pm
ContributorM@
Last ModifiedNCdem May 15, 2024 06:41pm
Data Sources[Link]
Description
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyRepublican Won11/08/2016
NamePat Toomey Votes2,951,702 (48.77%)
Term01/03/2017 - 01/03/2023 Margin86,690 (+1.43%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyDemocratic Won11/08/2022
NameJohn K. Fetterman Votes2,751,012 (51.25%)
Term01/03/2023 - 01/03/2029 Margin263,752 (+4.91%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
RacePA US Senate 11/08/2022
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Leaning Graph
01/03/2021 05/17/2022
CandidateSlightLeanStrongSafe
John K. Fetterman 4 5 6 5
Conor Lamb 3 1 ----
Leaning Call: John K. Fetterman (91.23%)
Weighted Call: John K. Fetterman (97.47%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph

05/07/2021 05/01/2022

CANDIDATES
Photo  
Name Lt. Gov. John K. Fetterman Rep. Conor Lamb St. Rep. Malcolm Kenyatta Alexandria Khalil  
PartyDemocratic Democratic Democratic Democratic  
Campaign Logo  
Certified Votes 753,557 (58.65%) 337,498 (26.27%) 139,393 (10.85%) 54,460 (4.24%)  
Margin0 (0.00%) -416,059 (-32.38%) -614,164 (-47.80%) -699,097 (-54.41%)  
Predict Avg.0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%  
Cash On Hand $-- $-- $-- $--  
Website [Campaign Site] [Campaign Site] [Website] [Website]  
Entry Date 02/08/2021 08/06/2021 02/18/2021 00/00/2021  
Bar
MATCHUP POLLS (7 from 4 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg46.95%-- 12.79%-- 5.21%-- 1.60%--  
Franklin & Marshall College 
04/20/22-05/01/22
53.00% 23.0 14.00% -- 4.00% 2.0 1.00% --
Emerson College 
03/26/22-03/28/22
33.00% -- 10.00% -- 8.00% -- 3.00% --
Data for Progress 
01/26/22-01/31/22
46.00% -- 16.00% -- 12.00% -- 0.00% --
GQR Research 
12/14/21-12/16/21
44.00% -- 15.00% -- 20.00% -- 0.00% --
Franklin & Marshall College 
10/18/21-10/24/21
34.00% -- 12.00% -- 5.00% -- 0.00% --
Franklin & Marshall College 
08/09/21-08/15/21
30.00% -- 14.00% -- 6.00% -- 0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
 

DROPPED OUT - NO VOTES
Kevin Baumlin (D)
Apr 07, 2021 - Mar 31, 2022
Helen Gym (D)
Mar 15, 2022
Larry Johnson (D)
Feb 01, 2021 - Mar 15, 2022
Joseph M. Torsella (D)
Mar 15, 2022
Valerie Arkoosh (D)
Apr 05, 2021 - Feb 04, 2022
Sharif T. Street (D)
Apr 09, 2021 - Jan 19, 2022
John McGuigan (D)
 00, 2020 - Dec 11, 2021
Joshua "Josh" Shapiro (D)
Oct 11, 2021
Brandaun Dean (D)
Jan 19, 2021 - Aug 07, 2021
Madeleine Dean (D)
Jun 15, 2021
Chrissy Houlahan (D)
Jun 08, 2021
Brendan F. Boyle (D)
Apr 02, 2021

EVENTS
Start Date End Date Type Title Contributor

VIDEO ADVERTISEMENTS
Start Date Candidate Category Ad Tone Lng Title Run Time Contributor
05/12/2022 John K. Fetterman TVAd Feel Good eng Momentum  00:00:30 RP 
10/10/2021 Web Only Ad Mixed eng Larry U S Senate Spot 6  00:01:19 data 
09/21/2021 Web Only Ad Issue eng Dr. Larry E. Johnson for the Democratic Nomination U.S. Senate, Pennsylvania  00:01:54 data 
08/20/2021 Alexandria Khalil Interview Biography eng Daughter of Palestinians runs for U.S. Senate  00:11:03 data 

BOOKS
Title Purchase Contributor

INFORMATION LINKS

NEWS
Date Category Headline Article Contributor
Feb 17, 2022 10:00pm News Multiple celebrities backing Kenyatta in Pennsylvania Senate race  Article WA Indy 

DISCUSSION
[View All
74
Previous Messages]
 
R:10538Southern_Moderate2 ( 62.9320 points)
x2
Wed, February 16, 2022 05:05:39 AM UTC0:00
If you're rooting for Dr. Oz

 
LBR:1802Old LW ( 622.1556 points)
Wed, February 16, 2022 11:55:19 PM UTC0:00
The more Pennsylvanians have seen of Oz, the less they've liked him. The opposite is usually true with Fetterman.

 
D:1RP ( 5506.7227 points)
x2
Thu, February 17, 2022 12:14:00 AM UTC0:00
I like Fetterman. I think he and Lamb have a similar chance of winning the general.

 
I:9951E Pluribus Unum ( -193.5252 points)
Thu, February 17, 2022 12:29:10 AM UTC0:00
From all the stuff I've seen, Lamb's tent is just not as big as Fettermans.

Lamb can get: Centrist Dems, Republicans who voted Trump for Economic Reasons, Western PA.

Fetterman can get all that PLUS Progressives and Eastern PA due to being a statewide figure with more appeal to everyone. The only people arguing against Fetterman are people with hate boners for the left and nit objectively looking at the facts.

In a race as tight as this: losing potential voters is not the best idea. Which the PA Dem Party admitted, which us why they are staying out

 
I:8766Pennsylvanian ( 404.1051 points)
x2
Thu, February 17, 2022 01:21:37 AM UTC0:00
RP: I like Fetterman. I think he and Lamb have a similar chance of winning the general.

Ideologically, I like Lamb. But I maintain that John Fetterman is the most personally genuine individual I've met in politics.

 
WFP:11300JVLEndorsements ( 36.4140 points)
Fri, March 25, 2022 07:47:04 PM UTC0:00
[Link]



 
WFP:11300JVLEndorsements ( 36.4140 points)
Fri, March 25, 2022 07:47:49 PM UTC0:00
[Link]

 
D:1RP ( 5506.7227 points)
Fri, March 25, 2022 08:15:52 PM UTC0:00
Please don't post bare links. At least give a short description so people can tell if they want to click on them.

 
WFP:11300JVLEndorsements ( 36.4140 points)
Fri, March 25, 2022 08:46:41 PM UTC0:00
My bad. Won't do it in the future

 
D:1989RBH ( 5212.2285 points)
Fri, March 25, 2022 10:34:14 PM UTC0:00
extra, if you wanna quote something from the article, you could type < q > and < /q > (with no spaces) around the quote instead of using quotation marks. Although a *brief* quotation with typed quotation marks works too. I emphasized brief since fair use exists and pasting an entire article wouldn't be a great idea.

Example of the Q quotation HTML

 
D:1989RBH ( 5212.2285 points)
Fri, April 1, 2022 05:07:49 AM UTC0:00
two candidates from Western PA and two candidates from Eastern PA

either we're getting an interesting map with Fetterman/Lamb 1-2, or Kenyatta is gonna do better than expected (both are possible at the same time)

 
Un:9757BrentinCO ( 6338.6216 points)
Sun, April 3, 2022 11:44:33 PM UTC0:00

 
I:9951E Pluribus Unum ( -193.5252 points)
Mon, April 4, 2022 10:36:18 PM UTC0:00
Unfortunately Cynic, ur opinion seems to matter little to broad discourse, as the random Centrist Lamb Stans will just keep saying Lamb has a better shot despite every Pennsylvanian I've seen is not too enthused over Lamb at all.

 
Un:9757BrentinCO ( 6338.6216 points)
Mon, April 4, 2022 11:12:35 PM UTC0:00
Fetterline is going to win here. Primary is one month away. Only question I have is whether Kenyatta finishes ahead of Lamb or vice versa. Lamb in 2022 for State Treasurer.

 
LBR:1802Old LW ( 622.1556 points)
Mon, April 4, 2022 11:56:24 PM UTC0:00
Another thing is Lamb's campaign is trying to be very "online" and that just doesn't win races, especially not in this state. I say to Kenyatta's credit, his campaign was the one I thought would be "online", but it really hasn't been like that at all.

 
I:8766Pennsylvanian ( 404.1051 points)
Tue, April 5, 2022 03:40:32 AM UTC0:00
Lamb threw his hat in here because he thought, probably not unjustifiably, that he'd be butchered by redistricting. It was a career hedge, but one which I don't get the sense Lamb's heart is in entirely. The calculus was obviously wrong, and his campaign for Senate has been one that has relied too heavily on the coalescence of the establishment and, with it, the rank-and-file and the centrists not far behind. Fetterman is on the runaway as a result. I think he can be a good general election candidate. Separate and apart from party politics, his is a distinctly proletarian, almost apolitical, appeal. That's potentially significant.

 
BEER:10271WSNJ ( 446.1584 points)
Wed, April 6, 2022 11:40:02 AM UTC0:00
Lamb and Fetterman would both be good general election candidates who are able to appeal to broader strokes of people in PA in different way, but if I was a dem I'd feel more comfortable with Fetterman.

Sorry I haven't been contributing much lately. I always feel my opinion is always more valuable when it comes to elections, not policy.

 
D:1RP ( 5506.7227 points)
Wed, April 6, 2022 03:12:17 PM UTC0:00
WSNJ: Sorry I haven't been contributing much lately. I always feel my opinion is always more valuable when it comes to elections, not policy.

Contribute however you feel comfortable.

 
Un:9757BrentinCO ( 6338.6216 points)
Sun, May 1, 2022 03:28:16 PM UTC0:00

 
I:9951E Pluribus Unum ( -193.5252 points)
Wed, May 18, 2022 01:34:34 AM UTC0:00
Cook's is calling it

 
LBR:1802Old LW ( 622.1556 points)
Wed, May 18, 2022 02:32:57 AM UTC0:00
A great night!

 
I:9951E Pluribus Unum ( -193.5252 points)
Wed, May 18, 2022 02:42:23 AM UTC0:00
Rando's on twitter are malding over the fact that the popular Lt Gov won a primary he was projected to win for literally the entire race........

 
LBT:10038Luzerne County Historian ( -406.9550 points)
Wed, May 18, 2022 02:45:28 AM UTC0:00
Love him or hate him, Fetterman was definitely the best Lt. Governor this state ever had because he actually did something with the office, not sit on his ass in mansion.

 
I:9951E Pluribus Unum ( -193.5252 points)
Wed, May 18, 2022 03:15:25 AM UTC0:00
^ That was the point that for some reason has to be explained to the Lambchops

 
D:1989RBH ( 5212.2285 points)
Wed, May 18, 2022 03:23:26 AM UTC0:00
they give the Lt. Governor actual housing to sit in?

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