Home About Chat Users Issues Party Candidates Polling Firms Media News Polls Calendar Key Races United States President Senate House Governors International

New User Account
"A comprehensive, collaborative elections resource." 
Email: Password:

  MD US Senate - R Primary
RACE DETAILS
Parents > United States > Maryland > Senate Class I
OfficeSenate
HonorificSenator - Abbr: Sen.
TypeRepublican Primary Election
Filing Deadline February 09, 2024 - 09:00pm Central
Polls Open May 14, 2024 - 06:00am Central
Polls Close May 14, 2024 - 07:00pm Central
Term Start January 03, 2025 - 12:00pm
Term End January 03, 2031 - 12:00pm
ContributorRP
Last ModifiedRBH May 15, 2024 01:29pm
Data Sources[Link]
Description
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyDemocratic Won11/06/2018
NameBenjamin L. Cardin Votes1,491,614 (64.86%)
Term01/03/2019 - 01/03/2025 Margin794,597 (+34.55%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
RaceMD US Senate 11/05/2024
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Leaning Graph
02/09/2024 05/14/2024
CandidateSlightLeanStrongSafe
Lawrence J. Hogan, Jr. 1 --1 9
Leaning Call: Lawrence J. Hogan, Jr. (100.00%)
Weighted Call: Lawrence J. Hogan, Jr. (100.00%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph

02/12/2024 05/08/2024

CANDIDATES
Photo
Name Gov. Lawrence J. Hogan, Jr. Robin Ficker Chris Chaffee Lorie R. Friend John A. Myrick Moe H. Barakat Laban Y. Seyoum
PartyRepublican Republican Republican Republican Republican Republican Republican
Campaign Logo
Uncertified Votes (99.64% in) 147,563 (61.88%) 71,726 (30.08%) 7,908 (3.32%) 4,802 (2.01%) 4,146 (1.74%) 1,738 (0.73%) 586 (0.25%)
Margin0 (0.00%) -75,837 (-31.80%) -139,655 (-58.56%) -142,761 (-59.87%) -143,417 (-60.14%) -145,825 (-61.15%) -146,977 (-61.63%)
Estimated Final2,297 (67.12%) 845 (24.69%) 77 (2.25%) 70 (2.05%) 68 (1.99%) 46 (1.34%) 19 (0.56%)
Predict Avg.0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Cash On Hand $0.00 6/30 $0.00 $-- 6/30 $6,270.46 $-- $-- $--
Website [Campaign Site] [Campaign Site] [Campaign Site] [Website]
Entry Date 02/09/2024 01/08/2024 02/08/2024 06/02/2023 02/02/2024 02/07/2024 02/07/2024
Bar
MATCHUP POLLS (3 from 2 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg59.80%-- 14.15%-- 1.23%-- 0.23%-- 2.23%-- 0.00%-- 0.23%--
Emerson College 
05/06/24-05/08/24		 56.00% -- 18.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
OpinionWorks 
04/07/24-04/10/24		 69.00% -- 9.00% -- 2.00% -- 1.00% -- 3.00% -- 0.00% -- 1.00% --
Emerson College 
02/12/24-02/13/24		 43.00% -- 6.00% -- 2.00% -- 1.00% -- 2.00% -- 1.00% -- 1.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
LBT Luzerne County Historian
R John "Dragon" Teichert 🔗
R Kyle
D Jared Golden 🔗
R 🚫Mark Levin 🔗
R Marsha Blackburn 🔗
R Maryland Republican93
R Mitch McConnell 🔗

DROPPED OUT - NO VOTES
John "Dragon" Teichert (R)
Oct 02, 2023 - Feb 16, 2024

EVENTS
Start Date End Date Type Title Contributor

VIDEO ADVERTISEMENTS
Start Date Candidate Category Ad Tone Lng Title Run Time Contributor

BOOKS
Title Purchase Contributor

INFORMATION LINKS

NEWS
Date Category Headline Article Contributor

DISCUSSION
 
LBT:10038Luzerne County Historian ( -406.9550 points)
Wed, May 15, 2024 03:25:38 AM UTC0:00
I'm surprised Ficker did as well as he did, given his track record. Anti-Hogan/Pro Trump vote I guess?
 
W:11230Arthur ( 32.8006 points)
Wed, May 15, 2024 11:00:46 AM UTC0:00
Luzerne County Historian: I'm surprised Ficker did as well as he did, given his track record. Anti-Hogan/Pro Trump vote I guess?
Yeah, basically. There's a large contingent of Republicans that view him as a RINO and would rather nominate a no-name MAGA candidate that would lose by 30 points instead of a popular former governor that has a chance of at least making the race close.

It's a dumb mentality and it has cost Republicans numerous winnable races in battleground states (2022 being the prime example).