--
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec
--
01
02
03
04
05
06
07
08
09
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
New User Account
"A comprehensive, collaborative elections resource."
Email:
Password:
NC US President
RACE DETAILS
Parents
>
United States
>
North Carolina
>
President
Parent Race
US President - Popular Vote
Office
President
Honorific
President - Abbr: President
Type
General Election
Filing Deadline
January 01, 2008 - 12:00pm Central
Polls Open
November 04, 2008 - 06:00am Central
Polls Close
November 04, 2008 - 05:30pm Central
Term Start
January 20, 2009 - 12:00pm
Term End
January 20, 2013 - 12:00pm
Contributor
Wishful Thinking
Last Modified
The Sunset Provision
December 09, 2008 12:59am
Data Sources
[Link]
Description
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
Party
Republican
Won
11/02/2004
Name
George W. Bush
Votes
1,961,166 (56.02%)
Term
01/20/2005 - 01/20/2009
Margin
435,317 (+12.43%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
Party
Republican
Won
11/06/2012
Name
Mitt Romney
Votes
2,270,395 (50.39%)
Term
01/20/2013 - 01/20/2017
Margin
92,004 (+2.04%)
PRIMARY/OTHER SCHEDULE
May 06, 2008
NC US President - R Primary
John McCain
R
517,583
May 06, 2008
NC US President - D Primary
Barack Obama
D
1,580,726
LEANING PREDICTIONS
Detail
Leaning Graph
02/27/2005
11/04/2008
Candidate
Slight
Lean
Strong
Safe
John McCain
20
7
9
1
Barack Obama
33
2
--
--
Leaning Call: John McCain (63.73%)
Weighted Call: John McCain (57.09%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph
06/26/2007
11/02/2008
Graph Poll MoE/Time
Remove Internal Polls
Remove Firm Bias
Graph Distance
Graph Falloff
Graph Days
Graph Day Offset
Ignore Pollsters:
American Research Group
Civitas Institute (R)
Elon University
Financial Dynamics
Garin-Hart-Yang Research (D)
GfK
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research (D)
InsiderAdvantage
Marshall Marketing
Mason-Dixon
Opinion Research Corporation (CNN)
Public Policy Polling
Rasmussen Reports
Research 2000
Survey USA
Winthrop University
YouGov
Zogby Interactive
Zogby International
CANDIDATES
Photo
Name
Sen.
Barack Obama
Sen.
John McCain
Committee Member
Bob Barr
(W)
Write-In
(W)
Ralph Nader
(W)
Rep.
Cynthia McKinney
(W)
Brian P. Moore
Party
Democratic
Republican
Libertarian
Independent
Independent
Independent
Independent
Campaign Logo
Certified Votes
2,142,651 (49.71%)
2,128,474 (49.38%)
25,722 (0.60%)
12,036 (0.28%)
1,454 (0.03%)
158 (0.00%)
38 (0.00%)
Margin
0 (0.00%)
-14,177 (-0.33%)
-2,116,929 (-49.11%)
-2,130,615 (-49.43%)
-2,141,197 (-49.67%)
-2,142,493 (-49.70%)
-2,142,613 (-49.71%)
Predict Avg.
47.00%
51.20%
1.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
Cash On Hand
$--
$--
$--
$--
$--
$--
$--
Website
[Website]
[Website]
[Website]
Entry Date
00/00/2008
03/04/2008
00/00/2008
--
00/00/2008
00/00/2008
00/00/2008
Bar
MATCHUP POLLS (80 from 19 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg
47.68%
--
46.54%
--
2.11%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
Rasmussen Reports
11/02/08-11/02/08
49.00%
1.0
50.00%
2.0
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
Survey USA
10/30/08-11/02/08
48.00%
1.0
49.00%
2.0
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
Public Policy Polling
10/31/08-11/02/08
50.00%
1.0
49.00%
1.0
0.00%
1.0
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
Zogby International
10/30/08-11/01/08
47.70%
2.0
49.30%
2.9
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
YouGov
10/18/08-11/01/08
51.00%
--
47.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
Research 2000
10/28/08-10/30/08
47.00%
1.0
45.00%
1.0
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
D
NCdem
I
JonathanNC
D
Joshua L.
Charlotte Observer
D
Andy Griffith
🔗
Raleigh News & Observer
Asheville Citizen-Times
Winston-Salem Journal
I
NCModerate
I
E Pluribus Unum
EVENTS
Start Date
End Date
Type
Title
Contributor
VIDEO ADVERTISEMENTS
Start Date
Candidate
Category
Ad Tone
Lng
Title
Run Time
Contributor
BOOKS
Title
Purchase
Contributor
INFORMATION LINKS
NEWS
Date
Category
Headline
Article
Contributor
Dec 15, 2008 07:00pm
Event
North Carolina Meeting of Presidential Electors - Live Feed
Article
Chronicler
Oct 20, 2008 03:45pm
News
Bear found dumped at WCU with Obama signs
Article
RP
Oct 20, 2008 10:00am
News
Tires slashed during Obama rally
Article
ArmyDem
Oct 18, 2008 03:00pm
News
GOP turnout lagging in heavy N. Carolina early voting
Article
ArmyDem
Oct 06, 2008 02:15pm
News
McCain forced to defend N.C.
Article
Homegrown Democrat
Jul 27, 2007 07:00pm
Proposed Legislation
N.C. near to shelving winner-take-all for electoral votes
Article
particleman
Add Your 2¢
Agree
Disagree
Laugh
Groan
Troll
Befuddled
Work Complete
Prediction
[close]
DISCUSSION