Poll Average Details- Portugal Assembly of the Republic - Popular Vote - 2022-01-30 14:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

PollMid DateTime WeightInternal Socialist Party Social Democratic Party CHEGA! Left Bloc Unitary Democratic Coalition Liberal Initiative People-Animals-Nature LIVRE CDS – People's Party Blank - Void Portuguese Workers' Communist Party Rise Up Earth Party People's Monarchist Party We Citizens! Together for the People Portuguese Labour Party Socialist Alternative Movement Alliance Volt Europa React - Include - Recycle National Democratic Alternative Democratic Alliance Invalid Madeira First
Pitagórica1/27X 1.00000   36.6000 - 0.0683 bias 32.9000 - 4.3046 bias 5.4000 - -0.4368 bias 5.1000 - 0.5806 bias 5.2000 - 0.9095 bias 5.2000 - 0.1182 bias 1.2000 - 0.7089 bias 1.7000 - 0.1875 bias 1.4000 - 0.2502 bias                                
CESOP-UCP1/26X 0.98333   36.0000 - -1.3701 bias 33.0000 - 6.0076 bias 6.0000 - -0.8015 bias 5.0000 - 0.2342 bias 6.0000 - 0.3579 bias 6.0000 - 1.2278 bias 2.0000 - -0.2299 bias 2.0000 - 0.3462 bias 2.0000 - 0.4391 bias                                
Aximage1/21X 0.90000   33.8000 - 2.1839 bias 34.4000 - 4.5641 bias 8.0000 - -0.4530 bias 6.6000 - 1.1105 bias 4.5000 - 0.4259 bias 2.8000 - -0.8044 bias 3.2000 - 1.0437 bias 1.4000 - -0.2324 bias 1.6000 - 0.2269 bias                                
TOTAL 35.283279 28.435920 6.982419 4.906238 4.683903 4.515060 1.603875 1.598114 1.359702 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000