Poll Average Details- TX US President - 2020-11-03 19:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

PollMid DateTime WeightInternal Donald J. Trump Donald J. TrumpJoe Biden Bernie SandersHowie Hawkins David RoldeCondoleezza Rice Donald J. TrumpGloria E. La Riva Tom Hoefling Robert P. Morrow Brian T. Carroll President R. Boddie Kasey Wells Todd Cella Jesse Cuellar Abram Loeb Jo Jorgensen
Swayable11/2X 1.00000   51.2000 - -2.8104 bias 47.2000 - 2.5280 bias 0.4000 - 0.1921 bias                     1.2000 - 0.6029 bias
SurveyMonkey11/1X 0.98333   51.0000 - -2.2024 bias 47.0000 - 2.6000 bias                        
Data for Progress11/1X 0.98333   48.0000 - -0.9368 bias 49.0000 - 1.5464 bias 1.0000 - 0.5976 bias                     1.0000 - 0.7656 bias
Morning Consult10/31X 0.96667   48.1000 - -1.6394 bias 48.1000 - 3.1429 bias                        
AtlasIntel10/31X 0.96667   50.0000 - 0.1499 bias 47.3000 - 0.9972 bias                        
Emerson College10/31X 0.96667   49.7000 - 0.6906 bias 48.8000 - 0.8084 bias                        
Public Policy Polling10/29X 0.93333   48.0000 - -0.1800 bias 50.0000 - 1.1680 bias                        
Gravis Marketing10/28X 0.91667   50.0000 - 0.2608 bias 45.0000 - 1.1590 bias                        
RMG Research10/28X 0.91667   50.0000 - -1.9745 bias 46.0000 - 3.2526 bias                        
YouGov10/27X 0.90000   49.0000 - 0.0288 bias 47.0000 - 1.4134 bias                        
University of Massachusetts10/26X 0.88333   48.0000 - -1.1910 bias 47.0000 - 1.2969 bias 1.0000 - 0.7444 bias                     2.0000 - 1.6304 bias
Latino Decisions10/25X 0.86667   49.0000 - -2.0029 bias 46.0000 - 3.5661 bias                        
Siena Research Institute10/25X 0.86667   47.0000 - -0.0165 bias 43.0000 - 0.4840 bias                        
University of Texas - Tyler10/20X 0.78333   45.0000 - -0.0832 bias 48.0000 - -1.8493 bias 1.0000 - 1.0529 bias                     2.0000 - 3.4082 bias
Citizen Data10/20X 0.78333   45.0200 - -3.0328 bias 48.9100 - 4.4051 bias 0.3900 - 0.1125 bias                     0.8300 - 1.4395 bias
Quinnipiac University10/19X 0.76667   47.0000 - -0.2682 bias 47.0000 - 1.0754 bias                        
Crosswind Media & Public Relations10/6X 0.55000   51.0000 - 1.3436 bias 44.0000 - 0.2909 bias                        
Civiqs10/6X 0.55000   48.0000 - -1.4007 bias 48.0000 - 2.9404 bias                        
University of Texas-Austin10/4X 0.51667   50.0000 - -4.2881 bias 45.0000 - -1.6778 bias 2.0000 - 3.4231 bias                     2.0000 - 4.2770 bias
EMC Research10/2X 0.48333   49.0000 - -4.1475 bias 49.0000 - 6.4468 bias                        
Hart Research (D)9/27X 0.40000   49.0000 - -1.1830 bias 47.0000 - 3.2645 bias                        
TOTAL 49.828947 45.320718 0.054554 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 -0.323820