Poll Average Details- NJ US President - 2020-11-03 19:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

PollMid DateTime WeightInternal Joe Biden Bernie SandersDonald J. Trump Donald J. TrumpJo Jorgensen Howie Hawkins David RoldeGloria E. La Riva William "Bill" Hammons Roque "Rocky" De La Fuente Don Blankenship
Research Co.11/1X 1.00000   56.0000 - 2.3692 bias 38.0000 - -0.3728 bias            
Swayable11/1X 1.00000   58.9000 - 2.5280 bias 40.0000 - -2.8104 bias 0.8000 - 0.6029 bias 0.3000 - 0.1921 bias        
SurveyMonkey11/1X 1.00000   59.0000 - 2.6000 bias 39.0000 - -2.2024 bias            
Eagleton Poll (Rutgers Univ.)10/24X 0.86667   61.0000 - 2.5840 bias 37.0000 - -2.6758 bias            
Stockton University10/13X 0.68333   56.0000 - 2.9006 bias 36.0000 - -2.4115 bias            
DKC Analytics10/13X 0.68333   56.0000 - 4.8880 bias 34.0000 - -3.6187 bias            
Fairleigh Dickinson University10/5X 0.55000   53.0000 - -0.3787 bias 38.0000 - 0.7776 bias            
Emerson College9/7X 0.08333   55.0000 - 0.8084 bias 38.0000 - 0.6906 bias            
TOTAL 54.906030 39.597733 0.197100 0.107900 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000