Poll Average Details- IN US President - 2020-11-03 17:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

PollMid DateTime WeightInternal Donald J. Trump William F. "Bill" WeldJoe Biden Joe BidenJo Jorgensen Mark WhitneyHowie Hawkins Jesse VenturaJoe C. "Average Joe" Schriner Christopher Stried James L. Johnson Jr. Mitchell Williams Brian T. Carroll Randall Patrick Foltyniewicz Shawn W. Howard Deborah Ann Rouse Kasey Wells Valerie McCray Abram Loeb
Swayable11/1X 1.00000   55.2000 - -2.8104 bias 43.0000 - 2.5280 bias 1.7000 - 0.6029 bias                        
SurveyMonkey11/1X 1.00000   54.0000 - -2.2024 bias 44.0000 - 2.6000 bias                          
Morning Consult10/31X 0.98333   53.4000 - -1.6394 bias 42.0000 - 3.1429 bias                          
Ragnar Research10/21X 0.81667   48.0000 - -1.3306 bias 40.0000 - -0.4532 bias 5.0000 - 3.5999 bias                        
Survey USA10/13X 0.68333   49.0000 - 0.3265 bias 42.0000 - 0.5274 bias                          
Change Research9/7X 0.08333   53.0000 - -1.2913 bias 39.0000 - 1.4957 bias 5.0000 - 1.5239 bias                        
TOTAL 53.957526 40.419685 1.331679 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000