Poll Average Details- TX US President - 2016-11-08 19:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

PollMid DateTime WeightInternal Donald J. Trump Ted CruzHillary Clinton Hillary ClintonGary Johnson Jill Stein Monica Moorehead Darrell L. Castle Emidio "Mimi" Soltysik Dale W. Steffes Laurence Kotlikoff Tom Hoefling Anthony "Tony" Valdivia Evan McMullin Michael A. Maturen Cherunda Fox Scott Cubbler Jonathan Lee Robert P. Morrow
SurveyMonkey11/7X 1.00000   46.0000 - -1.9834 bias 43.0000 - 2.5713 bias 6.0000 - 3.8473 bias 2.0000 - 2.3756 bias                          
Reuters/Ipsos11/6X 0.98333   49.0000 - 0.0696 bias 39.0000 - 3.1327 bias                              
YouGov11/6X 0.98333   44.7000 - -0.0504 bias 36.8000 - 1.5208 bias 5.3000 - 3.5652 bias 1.3000 - 1.3482 bias                          
Emerson College11/1X 0.90000   49.2000 - 0.3326 bias 34.5000 - 1.2939 bias 4.9000 - 1.0144 bias 4.0000 - 1.2292 bias                          
Marist Institute11/1X 0.90000   49.0000 - -0.8346 bias 40.0000 - 1.5051 bias 6.0000 - 4.1685 bias 2.0000 - 2.5135 bias                          
Dixie Strategies10/29X 0.85000   51.5300 - 3.6339 bias 39.3900 - -2.3406 bias 2.9600 - -0.0151 bias 0.3100 - 0.1889 bias                          
Pulse Opinion Research10/24X 0.76667   45.0000 - 1.6198 bias 38.0000 - -0.2550 bias 7.0000 - 1.8488 bias                            
University of Texas-Austin10/23X 0.75000   45.0000 - -4.2881 bias 42.0000 - -1.6778 bias 7.0000 - 4.2770 bias 2.0000 - 3.4231 bias                          
University of Houston10/15X 0.61667   41.0000 - 0.0291 bias 38.0000 - -1.0977 bias 4.0000 - 1.8052 bias 1.0000 - 1.3520 bias                          
Survey USA10/12X 0.56667   47.0000 - 0.3289 bias 43.0000 - 0.6566 bias 3.0000 - 1.2900 bias 1.0000 - 0.9105 bias                          
Texas Lyceum9/11X 0.05000   39.0000 - -1.1880 bias 32.0000 - -1.3102 bias 9.0000 - 2.7922 bias 3.0000 - 2.4526 bias                          
TOTAL 47.042906 38.515801 2.730090 0.076353 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000