Poll Average Details- TX US President - 2016-11-08 19:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

PollMid DateTime WeightInternal Donald J. Trump Ted CruzHillary Clinton Hillary ClintonGary Johnson Monica Moorehead Darrell L. Castle Emidio "Mimi" Soltysik Dale W. Steffes Laurence Kotlikoff Tom Hoefling Anthony "Tony" Valdivia Evan McMullin Michael A. Maturen Cherunda Fox Scott Cubbler Jonathan Lee Robert P. Morrow Jill Stein
SurveyMonkey11/7X 1.00000   46.0000 - -2.2024 bias 43.0000 - 2.6000 bias 6.0000 - 3.8473 bias                           2.0000 - 2.3756 bias
Reuters/Ipsos11/6X 0.98333   49.0000 - 0.8563 bias 39.0000 - 3.1158 bias                              
YouGov11/6X 0.98333   44.7000 - 0.0288 bias 36.8000 - 1.4134 bias 5.3000 - 3.6071 bias                           1.3000 - 1.3922 bias
Emerson College11/1X 0.90000   49.2000 - 0.6906 bias 34.5000 - 0.8084 bias 4.9000 - 1.2130 bias                           4.0000 - 1.4786 bias
Marist Institute11/1X 0.90000   49.0000 - -0.4397 bias 40.0000 - 0.7635 bias 6.0000 - 4.1685 bias                           2.0000 - 2.5135 bias
Dixie Strategies10/29X 0.85000   51.5300 - 3.6339 bias 39.3900 - -2.3406 bias 2.9600 - -0.0151 bias                           0.3100 - 0.1889 bias
Pulse Opinion Research10/24X 0.76667   45.0000 - 1.6194 bias 38.0000 - -0.2544 bias 7.0000 - 1.8488 bias                            
University of Texas-Austin10/23X 0.75000   45.0000 - -4.2881 bias 42.0000 - -1.6778 bias 7.0000 - 4.2770 bias                           2.0000 - 3.4231 bias
University of Houston10/15X 0.61667   41.0000 - -0.0549 bias 38.0000 - -0.8793 bias 4.0000 - 2.1716 bias                           1.0000 - 1.6836 bias
Survey USA10/12X 0.56667   47.0000 - 0.3265 bias 43.0000 - 0.5274 bias 3.0000 - 1.3296 bias                           1.0000 - 1.0702 bias
Texas Lyceum9/11X 0.05000   39.0000 - -1.1880 bias 32.0000 - -1.3102 bias 9.0000 - 2.7922 bias                           3.0000 - 2.4526 bias
TOTAL 46.892713 38.651577 2.666660 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 -0.008691