Poll Average Details- OC President - 2004-04-13 23:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

Poll	Mid Date	Time Weight	Internal	Brett *	Thomas Walker	Bob Heaney	Former Silly Likud Candidate	Dave Trotter
Our Campaigns	4/13	X 1.00000		38.6000 - 4.6225 bias	29.5000 - bias	13.6000 - -3.2717 bias	4.5000 - bias
Gallup	4/13	X 1.00000		41.0000 - 2.8840 bias	31.0000 - bias	21.0000 - -2.6491 bias	2.0000 - bias
Rasmussen Reports	4/8	X 0.91667		18.0000 - 1.5977 bias	40.0000 - bias	24.0000 - 0.4180 bias	4.0000 - bias
Big Cheese Predictors	4/8	X 0.91667		36.7000 - bias	36.7000 - bias	20.0000 - bias	3.3000 - bias
Myrth York Polling	4/6	X 0.88333		36.4000 - bias	30.3000 - bias		6.0000 - bias
Funka Bunka Lunka	4/6	X 0.88333		36.0000 - bias	33.0000 - bias	27.0000 - bias	2.0000 - bias
Price, Gunn, Kendall, Etc	4/4	X 0.85000		6.5000 - bias	1.2000 - bias		50.6000 - bias
TOTAL				29.495960	29.107494	22.117519	9.809044	0.000000