Poll Average Details- NJ US President - 2008-11-04 23:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

PollMid DateTime WeightInternal Barack Obama Hillary ClintonJohn McCain John McCainCynthia McKinney Bob Barr Ralph Nader Brian P. Moore Gloria E. La Riva Chuck Baldwin RĂ³ger Calero Jeffrey Boss
YouGov11/1X 1.00000   55.0000 - 1.5208 bias 40.0000 - -0.0504 bias                
Monmouth University10/31X 0.98333   55.0000 - 2.3166 bias 34.0000 - -1.2430 bias                
Fairleigh Dickinson University10/29X 0.95000   53.0000 - -0.2969 bias 35.0000 - 0.7271 bias                
Research 200010/28X 0.93333   54.0000 - 1.1463 bias 38.0000 - 0.1379 bias                
Strategic Vision (R)10/26X 0.90000   53.0000 - -0.4798 bias 38.0000 - 1.1151 bias                
Marist Institute10/21X 0.81667   56.0000 - 1.5051 bias 39.0000 - -0.8346 bias                
Quinnipiac University10/19X 0.78333   59.0000 - 1.6408 bias 36.0000 - -0.5266 bias                
Survey USA10/12X 0.66667   55.0000 - 0.6566 bias 40.0000 - 0.3289 bias                
Rasmussen Reports10/7X 0.58333   50.0000 - 0.4379 bias 42.0000 - 1.5515 bias                
TOTAL 53.560732 37.678699 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000