Poll Average Details- NJ US President - 2008-11-04 23:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

Poll	Mid Date	Time Weight	Internal	Barack Obama Hillary Clinton	John McCain John McCain	Cynthia McKinney	Bob Barr	Ralph Nader	Brian P. Moore	Gloria E. La Riva	Chuck Baldwin	Róger Calero	Jeffrey Boss
YouGov	11/1	X 1.00000		55.0000 - 1.4134 bias	40.0000 - 0.0288 bias
Monmouth University	10/31	X 0.98333		55.0000 - 1.9679 bias	34.0000 - -0.9091 bias
Fairleigh Dickinson University	10/29	X 0.95000		53.0000 - -0.3787 bias	35.0000 - 0.7776 bias
Research 2000	10/28	X 0.93333		54.0000 - 1.1463 bias	38.0000 - 0.1379 bias
Strategic Vision (R)	10/26	X 0.90000		53.0000 - -0.4798 bias	38.0000 - 1.1151 bias
Marist Institute	10/21	X 0.81667		56.0000 - 0.7635 bias	39.0000 - -0.4397 bias
Quinnipiac University	10/19	X 0.78333		59.0000 - 1.0754 bias	36.0000 - -0.2682 bias
Survey USA	10/12	X 0.66667		55.0000 - 0.5274 bias	40.0000 - 0.3265 bias
Rasmussen Reports	10/7	X 0.58333		50.0000 - 0.4180 bias	42.0000 - 1.5977 bias
TOTAL				53.780549	37.546650	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000