Poll Average Details- WA Governor - Blanket Primary - 2024-08-06 22:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

PollMid DateTime WeightInternal Bob Ferguson Dave Reichert Semi Bird Mark Mullet Write-In Frank Dare Donovan L. "Don" Rivers Brian Bogen Bill Hirt Alex Tsimerman Martin L. "Iceman" Wheeler Leon Aaron Lawson EL'ona Kearney Jeff Curry William Combs Edward Cale IV James C. Daniel Andre Stackhouse Chaytan Inman Alan Makayev Jim Clark Rosetta Marshall-Williams A. L. Brown Cassondra Magdalene Hanson Michael DePaula Fred Grant Ricardo "Ricky" Anthony Jennifer Hoover Brad Mjelde
Public Policy Polling7/25X 1.00000   39.0000 - 1.4367 bias 28.0000 - -0.2365 bias 10.0000 - -0.2365 bias 5.0000 - 1.4367 bias                                                  
Survey USA7/13X 0.80000   42.0000 - 0.6566 bias 33.0000 - 0.3289 bias 7.0000 - 0.3289 bias 4.0000 - 0.6566 bias                                                  
TOTAL 39.243344 30.207433 8.651878 3.465567 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000