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The GOP needs a brokered convention
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Race
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| Contributor | IndyGeorgia |
| Last Edited | IndyGeorgia Nov 23, 2011 09:36pm |
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| Category | Opinion |
| Author | Howard Megdal |
| News Date | Wednesday, November 23, 2011 03:35:00 AM UTC0:0 |
| Description | It has been a tumultuous year for those eager to handicap the 2012 GOP race for president. The leaders in the national polls have included Donald Trump, Mike Huckabee, Sarah Palin, Chris Christie, Rick Perry, Herman Cain and now Newt Gingrich. This weekend the former House speaker became the sixth Republican candidate to lead an Iowa caucus poll. And all the while, Mitt Romney has loomed as the realist’s choice to become the party’s nominee.
But all of these polls and pronouncements have overlooked the most popular choice for the Republican Party’s presidential nomination: no one. As Republicans make their way toward their quadrennial meeting in Tampa, Fla., which opens on Aug. 27, 2012, the lack of consensus may be building toward a historical surprise: a brokered convention. Such an event hasn’t been this likely in decades.
It is true that neither party has seen a multi-ballot vote to nominate a presidential candidate in more than a half-century. Adlai Stevenson won the 1952 Democratic nod on the third vote, and no Republican has required more than one round since Thomas E. Dewey in 1948, also on the third ballot.
However, a combination of the lack of strength within the current field, the inclinations of current GOP primary voters, the recently changed 2012 GOP rules, and even the best interests of the party itself all point to a strong possibility that there will be no presumptive nominee ahead of the convention. |
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