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"A comprehensive, collaborative elections resource."
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Republican Forecast: Cloudy
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| Parent(s) |
Party
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| Contributor | RP |
| Last Edited | RP Sep 05, 2007 05:48pm |
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| Category | Analysis |
| Media | Newspaper - Wall Street Journal |
| News Date | Wednesday, September 5, 2007 11:00:00 PM UTC0:0 |
| Description | For Republicans hoping the 2008 campaign will bring a fresh start after the troubled tenure of President Bush, there are sobering signs: Evidence indicates that the party's problems with the American electorate are much bigger than the president and won't go away when he leaves office.
Recent voter surveys, including private polling done by a leading Republican strategist, suggest a broader erosion of Republicans' appeal. In particular, three groups crucial to Mr. Bush's goal of a "permanent Republican majority" are drifting away: younger voters, Hispanics and independents.
The reasons include the Iraq war, conservatives' emphasis on social issues such as gay marriage, abortion and stem-cell research, and a party-led backlash against illegal immigrants that has left many Hispanic and Asian-American citizens feeling unwelcome. The upshot is that Republicans face structural problems that stem from generational, demographic and societal changes and aren't easily overcome without changing fundamental party positions. |
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