--
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec
--
01
02
03
04
05
06
07
08
09
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
New User Account
"A comprehensive, collaborative elections resource."
Email:
Password:
São Paulo Mayor
RACE DETAILS
Parents
>
Brazil
>
São Paulo
>
Municipalities
>
São Paulo
>
Mayor
Office
Mayor
Honorific
Mayor - Abbr: Mayor
Type
General Election - Requires Run-Off
Filing Deadline
---
Polls Open
October 06, 2024 - 05:00am Central
Polls Close
October 06, 2024 - 02:00pm Central
Term Start
January 01, 2025 - 09:00am
Term End
January 01, 2029 - 09:00am
Contributor
Bojicat
Last Modified
Bojicat
April 18, 2024 05:32pm
Data Sources
Description
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
Party
Brazilian Democratic Movement
Won
05/03/2021
Name
Ricardo Nunes
Votes
1 (100.00%)
Term
05/03/2021 - 12/01/2024
Margin
1 (+100.00%)
PRIMARY/OTHER SCHEDULE
LEANING PREDICTIONS
Detail
Leaning Graph
01/04/2024
05/03/2024
Candidate
Slight
Lean
Strong
Safe
Guilherme Boulos
--
1
--
--
Ricardo Nunes
1
1
--
--
Leaning Call: Ricardo Nunes (60.00%)
Weighted Call: Ricardo Nunes (100.47%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph
12/06/2023
04/13/2024
Graph Poll MoE/Time
Remove Internal Polls
Remove Firm Bias
Graph Distance
Graph Falloff
Graph Days
Graph Day Offset
Ignore Pollsters:
AtlasIntel
Badra Communication
Paraná Pesquisas
RealTime Big Data
CANDIDATES
Photo
Name
Mayor
Ricardo Nunes
Federal Deputy
Guilherme Boulos
Federal Deputy
Tabata Amaral
Marina Helena
Pablo Marçal
Federal Deputy
Kim Kataguiri
Altino Prazeres
Party
Brazilian Democratic Movement
Socialism and Liberty
Brazilian Socialist
NOVO
Christian Democracy
Brazil Union
United Socialist Workers'
Campaign Logo
Predict Avg.
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
Cash On Hand
$--
$--
$--
$--
$--
$--
$--
Website
Entry Date
03/04/2023
03/10/2023
03/04/2023
11/12/2023
04/11/2024
07/19/2023
03/04/2024
MATCHUP POLLS (6 from 4 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg
28.30%
--
23.71%
--
9.88%
--
4.09%
--
4.00%
--
3.77%
--
1.00%
--
Badra Communication
04/11/24-04/13/24
26.00%
--
17.00%
--
10.00%
--
4.00%
--
4.00%
--
2.00%
--
1.00%
--
Paraná Pesquisas
03/13/24-03/18/24
32.00%
--
30.10%
2.9
9.60%
0.1
5.90%
2.6
0.00%
--
5.70%
0.5
1.00%
--
RealTime Big Data
03/01/24-03/02/24
29.00%
--
34.00%
--
10.00%
--
1.00%
--
0.00%
--
6.00%
--
0.00%
--
Paraná Pesquisas
02/14/24-02/19/24
32.00%
--
33.00%
--
9.70%
--
3.30%
--
0.00%
--
5.20%
--
0.00%
--
AtlasIntel
12/25/23-12/30/23
18.00%
--
29.50%
--
6.20%
--
0.60%
--
0.00%
--
5.30%
--
0.00%
--
Paraná Pesquisas
12/06/23-12/09/23
25.00%
--
31.10%
--
8.90%
--
3.10%
--
0.00%
--
5.40%
--
0.00%
--
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
PSD
Social Democratic Party
🔗
SD
Solidarity
🔗
UB
Brazil Union
🔗
REP
Republicans
🔗
PP
Progressives
🔗
PDT
Democratic Labour Party
🔗
FBE
Brazilian Federation of Hope
🔗
I
E Pluribus Unum
PV
Green Party
🔗
MORE CANDIDATES
Photo
Name
Kelmon Souza
Education Minister
Abraham Weintraub
Marco Vinholi
Party
Brazilian Labour Renewal
Brazilian Woman's
Brazilian Social Democracy
Campaign Logo
Predict Avg.
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
Cash On Hand
$--
$--
$--
Website
Entry Date
01/30/2024
01/26/2024
07/30/2023
MATCHUP POLLS (6 from 4 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg
1.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
Badra Communication
04/11/24-04/13/24
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
Paraná Pesquisas
03/13/24-03/18/24
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
RealTime Big Data
03/01/24-03/02/24
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
Paraná Pesquisas
02/14/24-02/19/24
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
AtlasIntel
12/25/23-12/30/23
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.80%
--
Paraná Pesquisas
12/06/23-12/09/23
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.60%
--
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
DROPPED OUT - NO VOTES
Ricardo de Aquino Salles (PL)
Oct 04, 2023
-
Jan 31, 2024
Marcos Pontes (PL)
Jul 15, 2023
- Jan 31, 2024
EVENTS
Start Date
End Date
Type
Title
Contributor
VIDEO ADVERTISEMENTS
Start Date
Candidate
Category
Ad Tone
Lng
Title
Run Time
Contributor
BOOKS
Title
Purchase
Contributor
INFORMATION LINKS
NEWS
Date
Category
Headline
Article
Contributor
Add Your 2¢
Agree
Disagree
Laugh
Groan
Troll
Befuddled
Work Complete
Prediction
[close]
DISCUSSION